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RNN在线学习框架下CNN-LSTM模型对黄金期货价格的预测OA

Prediction of Gold Future Prices Using CNN-LSTM Model under RNN Online Learning Framework

中文摘要英文摘要

黄金是一种特殊的金融商品,具有避险功能.黄金期货价格受多方面因素的影响,一般认为黄金期货价格变化趋势呈现非线性非平稳的时间序列,传统的预测模型难以对其进行有效的预测.文章向传统在线学习算法中加入信息传递,提出基于RNN的在线学习算法ROA(RNN-based Online Algorithm);选用芝加哥商品交易所黄金期货价格数据进行实证分析,使用CNN-LSTM作为基础预测模型,以MAE、RMSE、R2 作为评价指标,结果表明在所有评价指标中ROA的预测性能均优于传统在线学习算法.

Gold is a special financial commodity with a safe-haven function.The price of gold futures is affected by many factors and is generally regarded as a non-linear and non-stationary time series,which is difficult to be predicted by traditional forecasting models.We introduce information transmission into traditional online learning algorithms and proposes an online learning algorithm ROA(RNN based Online Algorithm)based on RNN(Recurrent Neural Network).Empirical analysis is conducted using the Chicago Mercantile Exchange gold futures price data,with CNN-LSTM(Convolutional Neural Networks-Long Short Term Memory)as the basic prediction model and MAE(Mean Absolute Error),RMSE(Root Mean Square Error),and R2 as evaluation indicators.The results show that the predictive performance of ROA is superior to traditional online learning algorithms in all evaluation indicators.

石岩松;杨博

云南师范大学 数学学院,云南 昆明 650500云南师范大学 数学学院,云南 昆明 650500||云南师范大学 云南省现代分析数学及其应用重点实验室,云南 昆明 650500

计算机与自动化

RNN黄金期货价格在线学习算法

RNNgold future priceonline learning algorithm

《现代信息科技》 2024 (011)

141-144,152 / 5

10.19850/j.cnki.2096-4706.2024.11.028

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