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基于RFE-LGB算法的上市公司财务造假分析和预测

陈梦媛 南嘉琦 王静赛

现代信息科技2024,Vol.8Issue(11):145-152,8.
现代信息科技2024,Vol.8Issue(11):145-152,8.DOI:10.19850/j.cnki.2096-4706.2024.11.029

基于RFE-LGB算法的上市公司财务造假分析和预测

Analysis and Prediction of Financial Fraud in Listed Companies Based on RFE-LGB Algorithm

陈梦媛 1南嘉琦 1王静赛1

作者信息

  • 1. 河南财政金融学院 金融学院,河南 郑州 450046
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To address the issue of financial fraud prediction in listed companies,a method combining LightGBM and Recursive Feature Elimination(RFE)is adopted for data modeling.LightGBM is known for its low number of hyper parameter,strong robustness,and high sensitivity to imbalanced data.RFE,as an encapsulated feature selection method,can highly match the prediction model used and automatically determine the optimal number of features by setting a feature subset evaluation function as a stopping condition,which has significant advantages in the field of feature selection.In addition,the balanced accuracy(BAcc)is selected as the evaluation index for the predictive performance of the model,and the problem of sample imbalance is solved by adjusting the classification weight parameters of LightGBM.The experimental results on five different industry financial datasets show that the proposed RFE-LGB model exhibits good balance,robustness,and generalization in predicting financial fraud in listed companies.This model can effectively identify key indicators related to financial fraud,and can achieve high prediction accuracy with only a few core features.

关键词

上市公司/财务造假/LightGBM/递归特征消除/特征选择

Key words

listed company/financial fraud/LightGBM/recursive feature elimination/feature selection

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

陈梦媛,南嘉琦,王静赛..基于RFE-LGB算法的上市公司财务造假分析和预测[J].现代信息科技,2024,8(11):145-152,8.

基金项目

河南财政金融学院2023年大学生创新训练计划项目(202311652029) (202311652029)

现代信息科技

2096-4706

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