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江苏省电力市场下火电项目经济效益影响分析研究OA

Research on the Economic Benefits of Thermal Power Projects under the Electricity Market in Jiangsu Province

中文摘要英文摘要

在梳理江苏省电力市场现状的基础上,分析电力市场发展对火电项目经济效益的影响因素.为深入研究中长期市场收益、现货市场收益和辅助服务市场收益三部分收益对火电项目的影响,选取两台660 MW机组火电项目作为算例,在给定项目成本参数的基础上,运用实证分析方法评估中长期交易比例、电价、辅助服务以及煤耗等因素对项目收益的影响程度.分析结果表明,目前的现货市场收益占比不大,对项目收益的敏感性相对较低;现货价格的波动性表明各火电机组间的利润分配大小.在未来的电力市场发展中,火电企业需要密切关注市场变化,灵活调整经营策略,以实现稳定收益.

On the basis of summarizing the current situation of the electricity market in Jiangsu province,the influencing factors of the development of the power market on thermal power projects are analyzed.The analyzed income includes the mid and long term market income,the spot market income,and the auxiliary service market income.In order to thoroughly study the impact of the income on thermal power projects,a thermal power project with two 660 MW units is taken as a study case.Based on the given project cost parameters,the empirical analysis method is used to evaluate the impact of factors such as the proportion of mid and long term transaction,electricity price,auxiliary services,and coal consumption index.The analysis results show that the current spot market income is not large,and the sensitivity to spot market income is relatively low.The volatility of spot prices indicates profit distribution among thermal power plants.In the future development of the electricity market,thermal power enterprises need to pay close attention to market change and flexibly adjust their business strategy to achieve stable profits.

张延伍;史纯子;黄其昱;吴梦成

中国能源建设集团江苏省电力设计院有限公司,江苏 南京 211102中国能源建设集团江苏省电力设计院有限公司,江苏 南京 211102中国能源建设集团江苏省电力设计院有限公司,江苏 南京 211102中国能源建设集团江苏省电力设计院有限公司,江苏 南京 211102

动力与电气工程

火电项目电力市场经济性分析中长期交易电价

thermal power projectelectricity marketeconomic analysismid and long term transactionelectricity price

《电力勘测设计》 2024 (6)

66-70,76,6

10.13500/j.dlkcsj.issn1671-9913.2024.06.014

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