电力建设2024，Vol.45Issue(7)：156-166,11.DOI:10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2024.07.014
我国绿色电力交易对当前电力市场影响效果推演
Deduction of the Effect of China's Green Power Trading on the Electricity Market
摘要
Abstract
Green power trading policy is an important tool in the field of energy emission reduction.This study proposes a system dynamics model for green power participation in power market trading to address the effect of green power trading policy on the electricity market.First,we analyzed the operational status of green power trading policies at home and abroad and the problems of green power trading in China.Next,we constructed a system dynamics model of green power participation in electricity market trading to analyze the effect of the green power trading policy on the electricity market.Finally,we considered the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region as an example to analyze and verify the accuracy and rationality of the proposed model.The obtained results forecasted that,during 2026-2030,the price of green power will rise with a linear upward trend,and the installed capacity of green power will increase substantially.Under this growth scenario of the share of green power generation,the installed capacity and power generation of traditional energy sources is expected to grow moderately to ensure the stable operation of the power system.Moreover,we concluded that the implementation of the green power trading policy can effectively adjust the power supply structure.关键词
绿色电力/电力市场/影响效果/系统动力学Key words
green power/electricity market/effectiveness/system dynamics分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
路妍,耿鹏云,安磊,刘利利,钟诚,孔佳洁,崔茗莉,冯天天..我国绿色电力交易对当前电力市场影响效果推演[J].电力建设,2024,45(7):156-166,11.基金项目
This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42171278),Research Program of State Grid Jibei Electric Power Company Limited Economic Research Institute(No.SGJBJY00JJJS2310036)and Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(Seek-Truth Scholar)(No.3-7-9-2024-10). 国家自然科学基金项目(42171278) （No.42171278）
国网冀北电力有限公司经济技术研究院技术创新成本类项目"绿色电力市场交易机制对电力市场运行影响研究"(SGJBJY00JJJS2310036) （SGJBJY00JJJS2310036）
中央高校基本科研求真学人项目"'双碳'目标下电力行业碳减排多重政策协同及优化设计研究"(3-7-9-2024-10) （3-7-9-2024-10）
