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首页|期刊导航|海洋预报|冷空气东北大风在渤海西岸引发风暴潮的统计与模拟研究

冷空气东北大风在渤海西岸引发风暴潮的统计与模拟研究

梁森栋 张聿柏 付翔 朱现晔

海洋预报2024,Vol.41Issue(3):12-21,10.
海洋预报2024,Vol.41Issue(3):12-21,10.DOI:10.11737/j.issn.1003-0239.2024.03.002

冷空气东北大风在渤海西岸引发风暴潮的统计与模拟研究

Statistics and numerical simulation on the storm surge in the west coast of the Bohai Sea caused by cold-air-induced northeast strong wind

梁森栋 1张聿柏 2付翔 1朱现晔2

作者信息

  • 1. 国家海洋环境预报中心,北京 100081||国家海洋环境预报中心 自然资源部海洋灾害预报技术重点实验室,北京 100081
  • 2. 山东省海洋预报减灾中心,山东青岛 266100
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

64 storm surge processes in the west coast of the Bohai Sea caused by cold-air-induced northeast strong wind in wintertime half-years of 2018-2023 are selected based on Climate Forecast System Version 2(CFSv2)Selected Hourly Time-Series Products of National Centers for Environmental Prediction.Taking the"221003"storm surge as a reference,different wind fields with maximum wind speed at 7~12 wind scales in the Bohai Sea region are restructured,and the maximum storm surge at typical stations in the west coast of the Bohai Sea is simulated.The power exponent relationship between the maximum storm surge and the maximum wind speed at Huanghua and Weifang stations is established.Using this relationship,the quantitative relationships at Huanghua and Weifang stations between maximum storm surge at 50%and 80%cumulative frequencies and maximum wind speed in the CFSv2 products are proposed.

关键词

风暴潮/冷空气/渤海/数值模拟

Key words

storm surge/cold air/Bohai Sea/numerical simulation

分类

海洋科学

引用本文复制引用

梁森栋,张聿柏,付翔,朱现晔..冷空气东北大风在渤海西岸引发风暴潮的统计与模拟研究[J].海洋预报,2024,41(3):12-21,10.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划(2021YFB3900405). (2021YFB3900405)

海洋预报

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1003-0239

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