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1949-2019年中心经过渤海的北上台风统计分析

朱男男 王科 胡田田 赵玉娟 孙晓磊

海洋预报2024,Vol.41Issue(3):90-97,8.
海洋预报2024,Vol.41Issue(3):90-97,8.DOI:10.11737/j.issn.1003-0239.2024.03.010

1949-2019年中心经过渤海的北上台风统计分析

Statistical analysis of typhoons moving northward through the Bohai Sea from 1949 to 2019

朱男男 1王科 2胡田田 2赵玉娟 3孙晓磊2

作者信息

  • 1. 天津海洋中心气象台,天津 300074||天津市海洋气象重点实验室,天津 300074
  • 2. 天津海洋中心气象台,天津 300074
  • 3. 天津市气象信息中心,天津 300074
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the best path data set of tropical cyclones of the China Meteorological Administration,automatic weather station data and conventional observation data,statistical analysis on 25 northward-movement typhoons passing the Bohai Sea from 1949 to 2019 are conducted,with the proportions categorized as tropical depression,tropical storm,strong tropical storm,and typhoon remnant being 44%,16%,28%,and 12%,respectively.48%,28%,and 24%of the typhoons weakened,remained unchanged,and strengthened after moving into the Bohai Sea,respectively.96%of the typhoons passing through the Bohai Sea occurred in July—August,of which 64%were from mid July to early August,and the number of typhoons in early August was the largest,accounting for 29%of the total.The maximum wind speed of the northward-movement typhoons was 10~30 m/s,and the average wind speed decreased by 2 m/s after moving into the sea.The minimum central pressure of the typhoons was 970 hPa,the maximum central pressure was 1004 hPa,and the average central pressure was 992 hPa.88%of the northwestward-movement typhoons weakened after moving into the Bohai Sea,87.5%of the northward-movement typhoons remained unchanged after moving into the Bohai Sea,and 83.3%of the northeastward-movement typhoons strengthened after moving into the Bohai Sea.

关键词

北上台风/统计分析/聚类分析/渤海/预报指标

Key words

northward typhoon/statistical analysis/cluster analysis/Bohai Sea/forecast index

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

朱男男,王科,胡田田,赵玉娟,孙晓磊..1949-2019年中心经过渤海的北上台风统计分析[J].海洋预报,2024,41(3):90-97,8.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(41675046) (41675046)

国家重点研发计划重点专项(2019YFC1510100) (2019YFC1510100)

环渤海区域科技协同创新基金项目(QYXM-202210). (QYXM-202210)

海洋预报

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1003-0239

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