城市群设立对土地利用效率的影响OA北大核心CSSCICSTPCD
Impact of establishing urban agglomerations on land use efficiency:a quasi-natural experiment based on the approval of national-level urban agglomeration planning
土地利用效率是衡量地区土地资源配置与优化程度的表征,城市群区域土地利用及配置将在政策影响下发生重构,土地利用效率的优化程度成为评估该政策绩效的重要内容之一.基于此,梳理城市群设立与土地利用效率的理论关联机制,明确其内在作用机制及其空间分异显得尤为必要.该研究首先从城市群设立的政策路径出发,构建了城市群设立影响土地利用效率的理论分析框架,探讨了围绕公共服务供给、产业集聚、技术创新的中介作用,以及围绕地理、制度、经济差异的调节作用.在此基础上,以国家级城市群规划编制的批复与实施作为"准自然实验",基于2009-2020年全国244个地级及以上城市面板数据,利用交错双重差分模型检验了城市群设立对土地利用效率的影响.最后基于3类作用途径的中介效应检验、基于"中心-外围"的多类型空间距离异质性效应检验进行了影响机制分析.研究发现:①城市群设立对土地利用效率具有显著促进作用,该作用效果在国家级城市群设立后得到延续与加强.②国家级城市群设立对土地利用效率的作用存在公共服务供给、产业集聚、技术创新3类中介效应;在政策时点调整后仅存在产业集聚与技术创新两类中介效应,且作用效果与国家级城市群设立一致.③国家级城市群对土地利用效率的促进作用随地理空间距离增加、制度距离的分割表现出增幅被略微抑制的空间异质性;在政策时点调整后该促进作用表现为仅随经济距离增加而被略微抑制的空间异质性.基于以上结论,提出进一步依托城市群资源调配加强区域公共投入,契合产业集聚与科技创新合理分配产业布局与分工协作,强化区域体制改革与一体化建设实现区域均衡的政策建议.
Land use efficiency is an indicator that measures the level of regional land resource allocation and optimization.The influ-ence of policies tends to lead to the restructuring of regional land use and allocation in urban agglomerations,and the degree of optimiza-tion in land use efficiency has become a critical component in evaluating policy performance.In light of this,it is particularly necessary to clarify the theoretical relationship between the establishment of urban agglomerations and land use efficiency and to understand their underlying mechanisms.Additionally,it is particularly important to summarize the spatial differentiation of their effects.This study con-structed a theoretical analysis framework to investigate the impact of urban agglomeration establishment on land use efficiency,deriving from the policy pathways of establishing urban agglomerations.It also explored the mediating roles of public service supply,industrial agglomeration,and technological innovation,as well as the moderating effects of geographical,institutional,and economic disparities.Building upon this foundation,the approval and implementation of national-level urban agglomeration planning were treated as a quasi-natural experiment for further investigation.Based on the panel data of 244 prefecture-level and above cities in China from 2009 to 2020,this study used a staggered difference-in-differences model to empirically test the impact of establishing urban agglomerations on land use efficiency.In addition,the mediating effects were tested based on three types of pathways,and heterogeneity effects were exam-ined using a'center-periphery'approach with multiple types of spatial distances to analyze the mechanisms of influence.The study findings were as follows:① The establishment of urban agglomerations had a significant and positive impact on land use efficiency,and this effect continued and was strengthened after the establishment of national-level urban agglomerations.② The impact of establishing national-level urban agglomerations on land use efficiency was mediated by three factors:public service provision,industrial agglomera-tion,and technological innovation.However,after adjusting for policy timing,only the mediating effects of industrial agglomeration and technological innovation remained,and their effects were consistent with the establishment of national-level urban agglomerations.③ The promotion of land use efficiency by national-level urban agglomerations exhibited spatial heterogeneity,with the effect being slightly suppressed as geographic and institutional distances increased.After adjusting for policy timing,this promoting effect was shown to exhibit spatial heterogeneity,being slightly suppressed only with increasing economic distances.Based on these findings,poli-cy recommendations are made to further strengthen regional public investment through the allocation of resources in urban clusters,align industrial agglomeration and technological innovation with rational industry layout and division of labor,and enhance regional in-stitutional reforms and integration to achieve regional balance.
谢皖东;赵爱栋;马贤磊
南京农业大学公共管理学院,江苏 南京 210095南京财经大学经济学院,江苏 南京 210023南京农业大学公共管理学院,江苏 南京 210095||南京农业大学中国资源环境与发展研究院,江苏 南京 210095
经济学
城市群土地利用效率中介效应双重差分模型
urban agglomerationland use efficiencymediating effectdifference-in-differences model
《中国人口·资源与环境》 2024 (005)
34-45 / 12
国家自然科学基金"工业偏向型城市土地配置结构演化机理、绩效评估与调控策略研究"(批准号:72204108);国家社会科学基金哲学社会科学领军人才项目"共同富裕进程中土地市场发育的支持政策研究"(批准号:22VRC163);教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目"自然资源资产产权制度改革重大问题研究"(批准号:20JZD013).
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