环境规制对长江经济带经济高质量发展影响的传导机制OA北大核心CSSCICSTPCD
Transmission mechanism of the impact of environmental regulations on the high-quality economic development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt
工业发展极大地促进了中国的经济增长,但在资源和环境的双重压力下,经济高质量发展成为新时代的必然要求.在"共抓大保护,不搞大开发"的长江经济带新发展格局下,探讨环境规制对经济高质量发展影响的传导机制具有重要意义.该研究以2005-2019年长江经济带108个地级及以上城市面板数据为研究对象,构建了经济高质量发展的指标体系,将技术投入和产业结构作为中介变量,使用中介效应模型验证了环境规制与经济高质量发展的中介效应,并采用动态门槛模型探讨了不同门槛变量水平下环境规制对经济高质量发展影响的差异.研究发现:①中介效应检验结果表明,技术投入和产业结构均在环境规制对经济高质量发展的影响中具有部分中介效应.环境规制有助于提升技术投入水平、促进产业结构调整,进而对经济发展质量产生正向影响.②门槛模型的结果表明,技术投入和产业结构作为环境规制的门槛变量时,环境规制对经济高质量发展存在门槛效应.在高技术投入、产业结构落后的区域,环境规制可以更好地促进经济高质量发展.③门槛效应异质性结果表明,技术投入和产业结构变量的门槛效应存在时间异质性,技术投入政策导向和产业结构刚性等因素会影响环境规制政策的实施效果.基于以上结论,提出以下政策建议:①制定差异化的环境规制政策,推动环境规制政策的有效实施.②提高技术投入水平,为经济高质量发展提供新动能.③优化产业结构,推动产业绿色化转型升级.④明确环境补偿和专项治理机制,促进区域经济和环境规制协同发展.
Industrial development has greatly promoted China's economic growth.Under the dual pressure of resources and the envi-ronment,high-quality economic development has become an inevitable requirement of China's new era.Under the new development pattern of the Yangtze River Economic Belt,which is'to step up conservation of the Yangtze River and stop its over-development,'it is of great significance to explore the transmission mechanism of the impact of environmental regulations on the economic belt's high-qual-ity economic development.Based on the panel data of 108 cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2005 to 2019,this paper con-structed an index system of high-quality economic development and verified the mediation effect of environmental regulations on its high-quality economic development by using the mediation effect model.Intermediate variables,including technological input and in-dustrial structure,were used.In addition,the dynamic threshold model was used to verify the impact of environmental regulations on high-quality economic development under different threshold variable levels.The results found that:① The results of the mediation ef-fect test showed that both technological input and industrial structure had a partial mediation effect in the impact of environmental regu-lations on high-quality economic development.Environmental regulations helped to improve the level of technological input and opti-mize the adjustment of industrial structure,which in turn had a positive impact on the quality of economic development.② The results of the threshold model showed that when technological input and industrial structure were the threshold variables of environmental regu-lations,environmental regulations had a threshold effect on high-quality economic development.In regions with high technology input and a backward industrial structure,environmental regulations could better promote high-quality economic development.③ The results of the heterogeneity of the threshold effects showed that a temporal heterogeneity existed in the threshold effects of technology input and industrial structure variables and that factors such as the policy orientation of technological inputs and the rigidity of industrial struc-ture affected the implementation effect of environmental regulation policies.Based on the above conclusions,the following policy recom-mendations are put forward:① Formulate differentiated environmental regulation policies and promote the effective implementation of environmental regulation policies.② Improve the level of technological input and provide new impetus for high-quality economic devel-opment.③ Optimize industrial structure,and accelerate the green development and transformation of industries.④ Clarify the mecha-nism of environmental compensation and special governance,and promote the synergistic development of regional economy and environ-mental regulations.
成金华;彭昕杰;李静远;张浩希;詹成
中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院,湖北 武汉 430074||碳排放权交易省部共建协同创新中心,湖北 武汉 430205中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院,湖北 武汉 430074
经济学
环境规制经济高质量发展门槛模型长江经济带
environmental regulationhigh-quality economic developmentthreshold modelYangtze River Economic Belt
《中国人口·资源与环境》 2024 (005)
126-136 / 11
国家社会科学基金项目"城市群强化多种空气污染物协同控制和区域协同治理的体系与政策研究"(批准号:21BJY118).
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