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碳交易条件下基于鲁棒优化的电源规划研究

叶健强 孙敦虎

发电技术2024,Vol.45Issue(3):566-574,9.
发电技术2024,Vol.45Issue(3):566-574,9.DOI:10.12096/j.2096-4528.pgt.22182

碳交易条件下基于鲁棒优化的电源规划研究

Research on Power Planning Based on Robust Optimization Under Carbon Trading Condition

叶健强 1孙敦虎1

作者信息

  • 1. 国网宁夏电力有限公司建设分公司,宁夏回族自治区 银川市 750001
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Objectives]It is important to improve the processing ability of uncertain parameters in power planning.[Methods]A robust power planning model based on cardinality constrained uncertainty set under carbon trading condition was proposed.To reduce the degree of uncertainty,the uncertainty scenario set with cardinality constraints was constructed,and then the concept of"uncertainty budget"was introduced to redefine the best and worst scenarios.Based on duality theory,the robust model with max-min-max three-level programming structure was transformed into equivalent mixed-integer linear programming,which was solved by Baron solver in GAMS.[Results]The cost of carbon trading can promote a lower proportion of thermal power generation and a higher proportion of renewable energy generation.When the uncertainty budget is larger,the objective function value is lower,and the decision-making style is more conservative.[Conclusions]The power planning strategy based on robust optimization under carbon trading conditions can improve the ability to handle uncertain parameters.The planning results are robust and feasible,providing decision support for decision-makers in situations of information uncertainty.

关键词

电源规划/不确定性/鲁棒优化/碳价/对偶理论

Key words

power planning/uncertainty/robust optimization/carbon price/duality theory

分类

能源科技

引用本文复制引用

叶健强,孙敦虎..碳交易条件下基于鲁棒优化的电源规划研究[J].发电技术,2024,45(3):566-574,9.

基金项目

国网宁夏电力有限公司科技基金目(5229JS210001).Project Supported by Technology Foundation of State Grid Ningxia Electric Power Co.Ltd.(5229JS210001). (5229JS210001)

发电技术

OACSTPCD

2096-4528

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