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基于数据重采样与GRU神经网络的风电功率多步提前预测

胡珈宁 王旭 周振雄

北华大学学报(自然科学版)2024,Vol.25Issue(5):688-693,6.
北华大学学报(自然科学版)2024,Vol.25Issue(5):688-693,6.DOI:10.11713/j.issn.1009-4822.2024.05.022

基于数据重采样与GRU神经网络的风电功率多步提前预测

Multi-step Advance Forecast of Wind Power Based on Data Resampling and GRU

胡珈宁 1王旭 1周振雄1

作者信息

  • 1. 北华大学电气与信息工程学院,吉林 吉林 132021
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Accurately predicting wind power at different times and scales is crucial for the reliable operation of energy management systems.Aiming at the problem that current prediction methods can not maintain high prediction accuracy with the increase of steps,a multi-step advance forecast of wind power method based on data resampling and GRU is proposed by combining data resampling technology with GRU neural network.A new time series of wind power is obtained by using data resampling technology to resample the original time series of wind power;Using GRU neural network to perform one-step advance prediction on the resampling time series,achieving multi-step advance prediction of the original wind power time series.Experiments were conducting by using data from a wind power plant in Australia in 2022 and 2023,and the results showed that the proposed method outperformed existing methods in predicting results,the mean absolute percentage error and root mean square error were reduced by at least 1.94%and 6.13.

关键词

风电功率预测/数据重采样/GRU神经网络/多步预测

Key words

wind power prediction/data resampling/GRU neural network/multi-step forecast

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

胡珈宁,王旭,周振雄..基于数据重采样与GRU神经网络的风电功率多步提前预测[J].北华大学学报(自然科学版),2024,25(5):688-693,6.

基金项目

吉林省科技发展计划项目(YDZJ202303CGZH001). (YDZJ202303CGZH001)

北华大学学报(自然科学版)

OACSTPCD

1009-4822

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