港口航道与近海工程2024，Vol.61Issue(3)：71-75,5.DOI:10.16403/j.cnki.ggjs20240315
基于失效数据统计的油气管道失效概率评估方法
A Method for Evaluating Failure Probability of Oil Gas Pipeline Based on Failure Data Statistics
姜开 1孙庆峰 2王学谦 2赵连成 3孙宝齐2
作者信息
- 1. 山东港口烟台港集团有限公司,山东烟台 264000
- 2. 山东港源管道物流有限公司,山东烟台 264000
- 3. 山东联合能源管道输送有限公司,山东烟台 264000
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
The evaluation of failure probability plays an important role in the risks assessment of oil gas pipeline,and the related methods are always regarded as the difficulties in research.In response to the shortage of the existing methods,based on PHMSA failure database,the causes for the failure of oil gas pipeline were analyzed from the aspect of oil gas pipeline itself.A set of methods for evaluating failure probability of oil gas pipeline were established subject to failure data statistics,and an index system of correction factors was built,which contained ten quantitative indicators.Quantitative indicators were fitted based on the failure database,and this method was combined with pipeline characteristics to analyze and evaluate the failure probability of oil gas pipelines.Applying this method to specific pipelines produces different failure probabilities,which assist pipeline operators in use of risk reduction measures.关键词
油气管道/失效概率/失效数据库/失效影响因素/定量指标Key words
oil gas pipeline/probability of failure/invalid database/influencing factors of failure/quantitative indicators分类
能源科技引用本文复制引用
姜开,孙庆峰,王学谦,赵连成,孙宝齐..基于失效数据统计的油气管道失效概率评估方法[J].港口航道与近海工程,2024,61(3):71-75,5.
