南方电网技术2024，Vol.18Issue(6)：36-42,7.DOI:10.13648/j.cnki.issn1674-0629.2024.06.005
考虑源荷储不确定性的新型电力系统随机生产模拟方法
Stochastic Production Simulation Method for New Power System Considering Uncertainty of Source Network Load and Storage
摘要
Abstract
The increasing proportion of renewable energy in the new power system brings new challenges to the security and stability of the power system.The random production simulation of the uncertainty of the renewable energy output has guiding significance for the planning and operation of the power system.Firstly,the uncertainty of new energy output and load prediction is modeled.The principal component cluster analysis method is used to process the temporal correlation of new energy output and load data,and the equivalent variable function method is combined to carry out random production simulation.Finally,the correctness of the theoretical method proposed in this paper is verified by an actual power system example in a province,which can provide new ideas and methods for stochastic production simulation of new power systems.关键词
可再生能源/不确定模型/聚类分析/随机生产模拟Key words
renewable energy/uncertain model/cluster analysis/random production simulation分类
动力与电气工程引用本文复制引用
刘俊磊,刘新苗,娄源媛,邢月,徐芸霞..考虑源荷储不确定性的新型电力系统随机生产模拟方法[J].南方电网技术,2024,18(6):36-42,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(U22B6008) （U22B6008）
广东电网有限责任公司规划项目(030000QQ00220001). Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(U22B6008) （030000QQ00220001）
the Planning Project of Guangdong Power Grid Co.,Ltd.(030000QQ00220001). （030000QQ00220001）
