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青少年近视风险预测模型的系统评价

胡亭 李仕明 彭晓燕 武荣 李颖 王新

中国斜视与小儿眼科杂志2024,Vol.32Issue(2):19-23,5.
中国斜视与小儿眼科杂志2024,Vol.32Issue(2):19-23,5.DOI:10.3969/J.ISSN.1005-328X.2024.02.007

青少年近视风险预测模型的系统评价

A systematic review of risk prediction models for myopia in adolescents

胡亭 1李仕明 2彭晓燕 2武荣 3李颖 3王新3

作者信息

  • 1. 102100 北京市延庆区医院(北京大学第三医院延庆医院)眼科||首都医科大学附属北京同仁医院眼科
  • 2. 首都医科大学附属北京同仁医院眼科
  • 3. 102100 北京市延庆区医院(北京大学第三医院延庆医院)眼科
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objective To systematically summarize and assess risk prediction models for the occurrence of myopia.Methods Two keywords related to myopia and risk prediction model were searched on Chinese databases(CNKI,Wanfang)and English(PubMed,Embase,and Cochrane Library).The information form was created based on the CHARMS checklist.The PROBAST was used to assess the risk of bias.Results A total of 36 studies were includ-ed.Predicted outcomes included myopia,high myopia,and equivalent spherical lens(SE).The most frequently used predictors were SE and biometric parameters.Regarding model performance,32 studies reported discrimination(88.89%)and 7(19.44%)reported calibration.All studies were at high risk of bias,especially in the analysis domain.Problems centered on improper processing of missing data,incomplete evaluation of model performance,and lack of internal and external validation.Conclusion There are a certain number of myopia risk prediction models in adolescents,but the quality is uneven.It is urgent to improve the details of statistical analysis and external validation of the existing models to better guide screening.

关键词

青少年近视/预测模型/危险因素/偏倚风险

Key words

Adolescent myopia/Prediction model/Risk factors/Bias risk

引用本文复制引用

胡亭,李仕明,彭晓燕,武荣,李颖,王新..青少年近视风险预测模型的系统评价[J].中国斜视与小儿眼科杂志,2024,32(2):19-23,5.

中国斜视与小儿眼科杂志

OACSTPCD

1005-328X

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