东北电力技术2024，Vol.45Issue(6)：17-20,26,5.
近海浮式光伏成本分析与预测
Cost Analysis and Forecasting of Offshore Floating Photovoltaics
袁继巧 1刘阳阳 2翟钢军1
作者信息
- 1. 大连理工大学建设工程学院,辽宁 大连 116024
- 2. 中国交通建设股份有限公司广州分公司,广东 广州 510230
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
With the acceleration of the world's energy transition process and the establishment of the China's dual carbon targets,offshore floating photovoltaics(PV)have become an important form of marine new energy.According to the current problems of Offshore floating PV development being constrained by unclear cost benefits and unknown development prospects.Firstly,the cost of inland floating PV and sea-related technology to determines the offshore floating PV sub-items cost.Secondly,through calculating the economic index of photovoltaic system cost,it analyzes the offshore floating PV economy from many angles.Finally,it predicts the future cost of offshore floating PV by historical economic data.The results show that the cost reduction of offshore PV projects over the next decade is significant.In 2024,the project will realize revenue and expenditure balance due to the subsidy policy.After 2026 subsidy withdrawal,the project can be profitable independently.关键词
新能源/近海浮式光伏/成本估算/经济分析/电力市场Key words
new energy/offshore floating photovoltaics/cost forecasting/economic analysis/electricity market分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
袁继巧,刘阳阳,翟钢军..近海浮式光伏成本分析与预测[J].东北电力技术,2024,45(6):17-20,26,5.
