福建省旅游业碳排放脱钩关系及其驱动因素研究OA北大核心CSTPCD

Understanding the carbon emissions of Fujian's tourism industry and exploring the decoupling relationship between tourism development and carbon emissions,as well as their driving factors,are crucial for achieving low-carbon tourism.This study estimated Fujian's tourism carbon emissions from 2000 to 2021 using a top-down approach.The Tapio decoupling index model was used to analyze the decoupling relationship between tourism revenue and carbon emissions,and the LMDI method was applied to decompose the driving factors of this relationship.The results showed that:(1)From 2000 to 2021,Fujian's tourism carbon emissions increased significantly from 0.343 million tons to 4.375 million tons,with tourism transportation emissions accounting for the largest share at 82.32%.(2)The evolution of the decoupling relationship between tourism revenue and car-bon emissions exhibited a pattern of expansive negative decoupling weak decoupling expansive nega-tive decoupling,indicating a considerable gap from achieving strong decoupling.(3)The effects of tourism energy consumption intensity and tourism consumption levels were positive factors for decou-pling,with energy intensity effects showing significant fluctuations,marking it as a key direction for future emission reductions.Meanwhile,the effects of tourist scale and regional economic develop-ment were negative factors for decoupling.