北京大学学报（自然科学版）2024，Vol.60Issue(4)：767-774,8.DOI:10.13209/j.0479-8023.2024.017
面向碳中和的中国能源转型路径思考
On China's Energy Transition Pathway Towards Carbon Neutrality
摘要
Abstract
In the context of climate change and energy transition,a systematic discussion is conducted on the three major challenges featuring China's energy transition,namely the coal-dominated energy structure,the increasing growth in energy demand,and the urgent timeline for carbon neutrality.One of the main focuses is placed on exploring the technical feasibility of achieving an 80％ share of renewable energy in primary energy consumption by 2060.Based on the comparative analysis of different energy transition pathways,the multifaceted characteristics of China's carbon neutrality pathways are pointed out.A method for optimizing these pathways is proposed,considering economic costs,environmental impacts,and system reliability comprehensively,aiming to provide a theoretical basis and practical reference for achieving carbon neutrality and energy transition goals.关键词
碳中和/能源转型/路径优化/技术路线图Key words
carbon neutrality/energy transition/pathway optimization/technical roadmap引用本文复制引用
金之钧,张川..面向碳中和的中国能源转型路径思考[J].北京大学学报（自然科学版）,2024,60(4):767-774,8.基金项目
国家重点研发计划(2023YFF0613900)、国家自然科学基金(72243012)、中国气象局气候变化专题项目(QBZ202409)和中国石油天然气集团有限公司-北京大学基础研究项目资助 （2023YFF0613900）
