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基于MaxEnt模型的科尔沁沙地刺萼龙葵适宜生长区预测

齐开源 王雪丽 苏雅乐 罗亚勇 孙忠林 熊梅 周立业

草业科学2024,Vol.41Issue(6):1279-1287,9.
草业科学2024,Vol.41Issue(6):1279-1287,9.DOI:10.11829/j.issn.1001-0629.2023-0173

基于MaxEnt模型的科尔沁沙地刺萼龙葵适宜生长区预测

Prediction of suitable Solanum rostratum growth areas in Horqin Sandy Land based on the Maximum Entropy Model

齐开源 1王雪丽 1苏雅乐 1罗亚勇 2孙忠林 1熊梅 1周立业1

作者信息

  • 1. 内蒙古民族大学草业学院,内蒙古通辽 028000
  • 2. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,甘肃兰州 730000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To determine the characteristics of suitable habitats for Solanum rostratum,an alien invasive plant,in Horqin Sandy Land,geographic data matching S.rostratum distribution were analyzed.Suitable habitat requirements were predicted based on recorded S.rostratum locations and 19 environmental variables,using the Maximum Entropy Model and Geographic Information System(ArcGIS).Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis validated the predictions.The areas under the characteristic curve values of the training and validation data were 0.849 and 0.950,respectively,indicating that the prediction results were relatively accurate.The main environmental variables affecting S.rostratum distribution included the highest temperature in the warmest month,the average temperature in the coldest season,the amount of precipitation in the driest month,and the daily average temperature difference between day and night.The most adaptable area for S.rostratum in Horqin Sandy Land spans approximately 39 000 km2,primarily distributed in the central region.

关键词

最大熵模型/环境变量/适生区预测/刺萼龙葵/科尔沁沙地

Key words

maximum entropy model/environment variable/prediction of suitable habitat/Solanum rostratum/Horqin Sandy Land

引用本文复制引用

齐开源,王雪丽,苏雅乐,罗亚勇,孙忠林,熊梅,周立业..基于MaxEnt模型的科尔沁沙地刺萼龙葵适宜生长区预测[J].草业科学,2024,41(6):1279-1287,9.

基金项目

内蒙古自治区重点研发和成果转化项目(2022YFDZ0028) (2022YFDZ0028)

内蒙古自然科学基金项目(2022MS03060) (2022MS03060)

草业科学

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1001-0629

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