干旱区地理2024，Vol.47Issue(7)：1147-1155,9.DOI:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.565
基于两种降水数据的苏巴什水库暴雨山洪淹没模拟及致灾临界雨量阈值研究
Simulation of storm flood inundation and critical rainfall threshold for disaster in Subash Reservoir based on two types of precipitation data
摘要
Abstract
This study focuses on the Subash Reservoir area in the Aksu Prefecture,Xinjiang,China,employing various data sources,including merged precipitation,rainfall station,digital elevation model,and land-use data.Using the FloodArea model,a refined simulation of typical torrential rain-induced flood processes in the Subash Reservoir is conducted.By analyzing the inundation depth and runoff volume,and the simulation results of two precipitation data sources are compared,and a precipitation-inundation depth relationship model is established,determining critical rainfall thresholds corresponding to the sediment-flushing gate bottom elevation,flood limit water level,spillway gate weir top elevation,and dam crest elevation.The results reveal that the FloodArea mod-el driven by multi-source precipitation fusion data has higher accuracy and closer approximation to the actual val-ues for the inundation depth and calculated runoff volume in the Subash Reservoir than the model driven by rain gauge precipitation data.The error simulation rates for inundation depth of the two kind of data are 8.59%and 18.67%,respectively.The cumulative 4-hour precipitation thresholds for reaching inundation levels correspond-ing to the sediment-flushing gate bottom elevation,flood limit water level,spillway gate weir top elevation,and dam crest elevation of the Subash Reservoir are 7.1 mm,20.1 mm,32.9 mm,and 44.7 mm,respectively.The re-sults provide a theoretical reference for torrential rain-induced early flood warning in the Subash Reservoir region to enhance the capability of early flood warning for such scenarios.关键词
暴雨山洪/淹没模拟/致灾临界雨量/苏巴什水库Key words
torrential rain-induced floods/inundation simulation/critical rainfall threshold/Subash Reservoir引用本文复制引用
张连成,司嘉怡,胡列群,王梅霞,张太西..基于两种降水数据的苏巴什水库暴雨山洪淹没模拟及致灾临界雨量阈值研究[J].干旱区地理,2024,47(7):1147-1155,9.基金项目
安徽省创新发展专项面上项目(CXM202110) （CXM202110）
新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金项目(2021D01B83) （2021D01B83）
新疆气象科技创新发展基金项目(MS202207)资助 （MS202207）
