人在环装备的可靠性建模与预计方法研究OACSTPCD

In order to solve the practical problems of the human-equipment in the reliability engineering,this paper breaks through the defects and limitations of the existing reliability modeling and prediction methods,proposes to consider the influence of personnel characteristics on system performance in the process of system reliability modeling and prediction,introduces the concept of human reliability,and improves the traditional reliability modeling and prediction techniques.A new reliability modeling and pre-diction method for the human-equipment system is developed,and the concrete implementation steps are given.The reliability mathematical model are established for the common typical reliability models by using the general probability method.A statistical method and a human reliability analysis model are used to obtain the human reliability data.The analysis of practical examples shows that the method here is universal and easy to operate,and the corresponding results of basic reliability and mission reliability modeling and prediction are more real and effective.