农业现代化研究2024，Vol.45Issue(3)：355-365,11.DOI:10.13872/j.1000-0275.2024.0027
中国不同区域的农业现代化路径选择
Pathway for regional agricultural modernization in China:Based on the induced innovation theory and the experience of developed countries
摘要
Abstract
Agricultural modernization is the cornerstone for developing an agricultural powerhouse and accomplishing comprehensive rural revitalization in China.In contrast to previous research that often focused either on case studies or empirical analyses lacking feasible implications,this study based on induced innovation theory and systematically elucidates the theoretical rationale behind selecting pathways for agricultural modernization.It also discusses and concludes the experiences of agricultural modernization in developed nations.Then,using the panel data collected from 2000 to 2021 in 31 provinces(regions,cities)and employing translog production function to estimate the elasticities of agricultural inputs,it discusses the feasible pathways of agricultural modernization in different regions of China.The findings indicate that the paradigm of agricultural modernization is fundamentally shaped by technological innovation rooted in factor endowments.Notably,countries such as the United States,Japan,Germany,and Israel have followed a technological induction logic in their agricultural modernization pathways.Results show that the labor force has witnessed a trend of"U"shape since the 2000s.The elasticity of fertilizer has been decreasing in China while it remains positive in eastern region.The elasticities of machinery and land have been increasing during the surveyed period,with the biggest growth in northeast and central regions.And these trends basically follow the internal logic of technology induction.It is suggested that the agricultural mode of Japan,Germany,Israel and the United States are suitable for agri-modernization pathways of eastern,central,western and north-eastern China,respectively.关键词
农业现代化/发展路径/技术诱导/资源禀赋/区域农业Key words
agricultural modernization/development pathway/induced innovation/resource endowment/regional agriculture分类
经济学引用本文复制引用
洪宇,陈秧分,刘坚..中国不同区域的农业现代化路径选择[J].农业现代化研究,2024,45(3):355-365,11.基金项目
国家社会科学基金重大项目(21&ZD093) （21&ZD093）
农业农村部发展规划司委托课题(B020101) （B020101）
中国农业科学院科技创新工程项目(10-IAED-04-2024). Key Project of National Social Science Foundation of China(21&ZD093) （10-IAED-04-2024）
Department of Development Planning,Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs(B020101),The Agricultural Science and Technology Innovation Project of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences(10-IAED-04-2024). （B020101）
