基于未来降雨的水库实时优化调度研究OACSTPCD

To fully utilize future rainfall information for reservoir operation,a real-time optimization model with the objective of maximum flood peak reduction is constructed,and a reservoir optimization operation method is proposed considering future rainfall information.This method predicts inflow using 24h rainfall forecast information based on the tank model and establishes outflow targets for each time period to solve the model.Taking the Shanmei Reservoir flood control operation as an example and comparing the proposed optimization scheduling method with the optimization scheduling method combined with heuristic rainfall information,the result shows the proposed reservoir optimization scheduling method performs better in terms of the objective function,closely matches the performance of the flood forecast-based method,and can effectively solve the problem of water inflow uncertainty.