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共同富裕水平测度与时空演进格局分析

高鹤鹏 宋玉冰 丘斌 陆九天

统计与决策2024,Vol.40Issue(13):16-21,6.
统计与决策2024,Vol.40Issue(13):16-21,6.DOI:10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2024.13.003

共同富裕水平测度与时空演进格局分析

Measurement of Common Prosperity Level and Analysis of Spatiotemporal Evolution Pattern

高鹤鹏 1宋玉冰 2丘斌 3陆九天4

作者信息

  • 1. 中央党校(国家行政学院)经济学教研部,北京 100091
  • 2. 中国海洋大学 管理学院,山东 青岛 266100
  • 3. 佛山大学 马克思主义学院,广东 佛山 528051
  • 4. 江苏大学 马克思主义学院,江苏 镇江 212013
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This paper uses principal component analysis(PCA)to synthesize dimension reduction,then estimates the com-mon prosperity level of 30 provinces in China from 2008 to 2021,and finally uses Theil index,Moran's index,kernel density esti-mation method and Markov transfer probability matrix to analyze the regional difference,spatial autocorrelation characteristics,time evolution characteristics and dynamic evolution law of common prosperity level.The results go as the following:The common prosperity level of all provinces shows an upward trend from 2008 to 2021,and that of most provinces becomes positive in 2021.From the perspective of regional differences,the overall difference of China's common prosperity level shows a trend of fluctuation and decline.From the perspective of spatial autocorrelation characteristics,the common prosperity level of all provinces has obvi-ous positive spatial autocorrelation characteristics,and this correlation is evident between provinces that are geographically close to each other and provinces with similar levels of economic development.From the perspective of temporal evolution characteris-tics,the kernel density curves in eastern,central and western regions present the characteristics of multi-peak distribution,rela-tively flat,and the main peak shifting to the right.From the perspective of dynamic evolution law,the common prosperity level of each province has high stability,and the level transition mainly occurs between adjacent levels.

关键词

共同富裕/主成分分析/区域差异/时空演进格局

Key words

common prosperity/principal component analysis/regional differences/spatiotemporal evolution pattern

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

高鹤鹏,宋玉冰,丘斌,陆九天..共同富裕水平测度与时空演进格局分析[J].统计与决策,2024,40(13):16-21,6.

统计与决策

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

1002-6487

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