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健康中国建设的水平测度与时空演进OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

Level Measurement and Spatiotemporal Evolution of Healthy China Construction

中文摘要英文摘要

文章从健康状况、健康治理、健康保障3个维度构建健康中国建设水平测度指标体系.基于2011-2020年我国31个省份的面板数据,采用熵权TOPSIS法、Dagum基尼系数及其分解法、标准差椭圆、马尔可夫链与核密度估计,分析了健康中国建设水平及其差异来源、空间格局、动态演进和时间演进规律.研究结果表明:从建设水平上看,健康中国建设水平呈现逐年上升趋势,整体上呈现"东高、中平、西低"的分布特征;从差异来看,健康中国建设水平总体差异较大且区域间差异是造成健康中国建设水平总体差异的主要原因;从空间格局来看,健康中国建设水平正向东南方向极化;从动态演进来看,健康中国建设水平具有保持原有等级和向上转移的黏性并且很难跨级发展;从时间演进来看,健康中国建设水平逐年提高,并且除中部地区外,其余地区均呈现多极化发展趋势.

This paper constructs a measurement index system for the construction level of Healthy China from three dimen-sions:health status,health governance,and health security.Using the panel data of 31 provinces from 2011 to 2020,the paper em-ploys entropy-weight TOPSIS method,Dagum Gini coefficient and its decomposition method,the standard deviation ellipse,Mar-kov chain and kernel density estimation to analyze the construction level of Healthy China and its source of differences,spatial pattern,dynamic and temporal evolution rules.The research results are shown as follows:From the perspective of construction lev-el,the construction level of Healthy China shows a trend of increasing year by year,with the distribution characteristics of high in the east,moderate in the middle and low in the west.From the perspective of differences,the overall difference of the construction level of Healthy China is large and the regional difference is the main reason for the overall difference of the construction level of Healthy China.From the perspective of spatial pattern,the level of Healthy China construction is polarizing toward the southeast.From the perspective of dynamic evolution,the construction level of Healthy China has a viscosity of maintaining and upward transfer and is difficult to develop across levels.From the perspective of temporal evolution,the construction level of Healthy Chi-na has been improving year by year,and all regions except the central region are showing a multi-polarized development trend.

黄兴华;马万利;龚宇润;卢柄宜

大连理工大学马克思主义学院大连理工大学人文与社会科学学部大连海事大学交通运输工程学院,辽宁大连 116023

预防医学

健康中国Dagum基尼系数标准差椭圆核密度估计马尔可夫链

Healthy ChinaDagum Gini coefficientstandard deviation ellipsekernel density estimationMarkov chain

《统计与决策》 2024 (013)

39-44 / 6

国家社会科学基金一般项目(23BKS076)

10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2024.13.007

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