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全球深海区域军事化发展论析OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCI

Development Trends and Impact Analysis of Militarization in Global Deep-Sea Regions

中文摘要英文摘要

随着深海科技与装备的快速发展,为全维度控制海洋和打赢未来海战,美国等西方军事强国利用现有深海国际军控机制的滞后,加快构建深海作战力量,企图将大部分处于"公域"状态的深海区域打造成新一维战场,以谋求制深海权和以深制海,并占据深海资源争夺的主动权,由此导致全球深海区域军事化发展加速.而全球深海区域军事化发展加速,又将反过来推动深海科技的飞跃,进而带动国家海洋军事实力和综合国力的提升,拓展国家发展空间.同时,深海军事化发展加速,也将使深海区域呈现军备竞赛趋势,提升大国战争的爆发风险,违背国际海洋法关于和平利用海洋的基本原则精神.由于经济成本投入巨大,广泛应用人工智能技术的潜在风险高,同时深海区域地理生态环境极其恶劣、脆弱,全球深海区域军事化发展加速也将面临诸多制约和挑战.

With the rapid development of deep-sea technology and equipment,the intensification of deep-sea resource competition,the lag of deep-sea military control mechanisms,and the need for comprehensive management of the ocean and potential sea battles,major military powers are accelerating the construction of deep-sea combat systems,attempting to turn most of the deep-sea areas from a public domain state into a new one-dimensional battlefield,in order to seek control over deep-sea areas,which will accelerate the de-velopment of militarization in the global deep-sea region.The acceleration of militarization in global deep-sea region will in turn promote a leap in deep-sea technology,thereby driving the improvement of national ocean military strength and comprehensive national strength,and expanding the space for national develop-ment.At the same time,this acceleration will intensify the deep-sea arms race,violating the basic princi-ples and spirit of international ocean peaceful utilization,and greatly increasing the risk of major powers'war.However,due to the significant investment in the development of deep-sea militarization,the potential risks from widespread application of artificial intelligence technology and the harsh geographical and fragile ecological environment of the deep-sea will also pose constraints and challenges to the accelerated develop-ment of deep-sea militarization.

况腊生

军事科学院,北京 100091

深海作战深海军备竞赛深海军事安全海洋命运共同体

deep-sea operationsdeep-sea arms racedeep-sea military securitydeep-sea community with a shared future

《太平洋学报》 2024 (006)

77-92 / 16

本文系国家社会科学基金项目"世界主要国家现行边海防体制研究"(20BGL311)的阶段性研究成果,智强基金项目资助.

10.14015/j.cnki.1004-8049.2024.06.006

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