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基于LSTM-LightGBM模型的烟草存销比层次化预测方法

李家蕊 杨旻

烟台大学学报(自然科学与工程版)2024,Vol.37Issue(3):256-261,6.
烟台大学学报(自然科学与工程版)2024,Vol.37Issue(3):256-261,6.DOI:10.13951/j.cnki.37-1213/n.230808

基于LSTM-LightGBM模型的烟草存销比层次化预测方法

A Hierarchical Forecasting Method for Tobacco Inventory-to-Sales Ratio Based on LSTM-LightGBM Model

李家蕊 1杨旻1

作者信息

  • 1. 烟台大学数学与信息科学学院,山东烟台 264005
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The paper employs the LSTM-LightGBM algorithm and incorporates the geographical location and grade information of retailers to develop a hierarchical model for accurately forecasting the inventory-to-sales ratio of tobac-co products.The model initially uses the LSTM network to forecast the overall inventory-to-sales ratio across differ-ent regions and grades.Subsequently,the obtained overall inventory-to-sales ratio is utilized as supplementary in-put for LightGBM to predict the inventory-to-sales ratio for each type of cigarette sold by individual retailers.The proposed model progressively combines macro-and micro-level features of the data.The validation results,using actual tobacco sales data from a specific region,demonstrate the superior predictive accuracy of the proposed ap-proach.

关键词

烟草/存销比/LSTM/LightGBM/层次化模型

Key words

tobacco/inventory-to-sales ratio/LSTM/LightGBM/hierarchical model

分类

数理科学

引用本文复制引用

李家蕊,杨旻..基于LSTM-LightGBM模型的烟草存销比层次化预测方法[J].烟台大学学报(自然科学与工程版),2024,37(3):256-261,6.

基金项目

山东省自然科学基金资助项目(ZR2021MA010). (ZR2021MA010)

烟台大学学报(自然科学与工程版)

1004-8820

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