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基于机器学习的总有机碳含量测井预测方法对比研究OACSTPCD

Comparative Study on Total Organic Carbon Content Logging Prediction Method Based on Machine Learning

中文摘要英文摘要

川中中二叠统茅口组一段发育岩性复杂、纵向变化大,总有机碳含量预测影响因素多、难度大,探索最适合该地区总有机碳含量预测的高精确度预测方法尤为重要.基于皮尔逊相关系数矩阵进行了总有机碳含量预测敏感参数选取,利用多层前馈神经网络、支持向量机和XGBoost算法这3种机器学习方法进行建模,并与常规Δlog R法计算总有机碳含量的结果进行对比分析.结果表明:应用敏感特征挖掘方法优选出了与总有机碳含量相关性高的自然伽马、电阻率、声波时差、补偿密度、补偿中子测井数据作为输入特征;建立了检验精度R2=0.6248的Δlog R法计算模型、R2=0.8144的BP神经网络预测模型、R2=0.7029的支持向量机预测模型及R2=0.9370的XGBoost预测模型.实际应用效果分析显示,常规的Δlog R法计算总有机碳含量精确度效果不佳,达不到预期效果;XGBoost预测模型预测值与实测值大小吻合最好、可靠性最高.该研究建立、对比优选出了预测精度高、泛化能力强的总有机碳含量预测模型,为研究区复杂碳酸盐岩总有机碳含量预测提供了有效的方法.

The lithology of the first member of the Maokou formation in the Middle Permian of Central Sichuan is complex and the longitudinal variation is large.There are many influencing factors and difficulty in the prediction of total organic carbon content,so it is particularly important to explore the most suitable high-precision prediction method for the prediction of total organic carbon content in this area.In this paper,the sensitive parameters for the prediction of total organic carbon content are selected based on the Pearson correlation coefficient matrix,and three machine learning methods are used to model the total organic carbon content.By using three machine learning methods:multi-layer feed forward neural network,support vector machine and XGBoost algorithm,the effect of calculating total organic carbon content is compared with the conventional Δlog R method.The results show that natural gamma,resistivity,acoustic time difference,compensated density and compensated neutron log data with high correlation with total organic carbon content are selected as input features by using the sensitive feature mining method.The Δlog R calculation model with R2=0.624 8,the BP neural network prediction model with R2=0.814 4,the support vector machine prediction model with R2=0.702 9 and the XGBoost prediction model with R2=0.937 0 were established.The analysis of the practical application effect showed that the conventional Δlog R method had poor accuracy in calculating the total organic carbon content and could not achieve the expected effect.The predicted value of the XGBoost prediction model is in the best agreement with the measured value and has the highest reliability.In this study,a prediction model of total organic carbon content with high prediction accuracy and strong generalization ability is established,compared and optimized,which provided an effective method for predicting the total organic carbon content of complex carbonate rocks in the study area.

唐生寿;杨斌;靳九龙;刘洪瑞;代兴宇;蒲金成

成都理工大学能源学院,四川 成都 610059

测井解释总有机碳含量Δlog R法XGBoost算法BP神经网络支持向量机机器学习

log interpretationtotal organic carbon contentΔlog R methodXGBoost algorithmBP neural networksupport vector machinemachine learning

《测井技术》 2024 (004)

428-437 / 10

10.16489/j.issn.1004-1338.2024.04.003

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