变化条件下长江口防洪御潮及供水保障研究进展与展望OA
Research progress and prospect on flood and tide prevention and water supply safeguarding in the Yangtze River estuary under changing conditions
近一个世纪以来,全球气候变暖导致海平面持续上升,增加了整个长江口的水深,抬高了潮汐和风暴潮的基础水位,使得河口咸潮入侵,洪水和风暴潮发生的频率和强度增加.同时,由于长江流域水土保持和水库群建设,进入河口的泥沙量锐减,加剧了河口咸潮上溯,对区域人群生产生活产生一定影响.从全球气候变暖背景下长江口海平面上升和演变规律、长江口人类活动与气候变化影响下的动力要素变化、河口咸潮入侵时空分布和水盐交换机制及供水安全风险、海平面上升对海堤防洪御潮能力的影响、长江口地区防洪御潮韧性等5个方面总结归纳了现有研究成果,提出未来研究的方向,以期对保障河口地区水资源安全利用和防洪御潮能力提升提供参考.
In the past century,global climate change has led to continuous rise of the sea level,resulting in higher water depth of the entire Yangtze River estuary,rise of basic water level of tide and storm surge,saltwater intrusion and increase of frequency and intensity of flood and storm surge.At the same time,due to the construction of reservoir clusters and erosion control upstream,the amount of sediment entering the estuary has decreased significantly which intensify seawater intrusion and exert negative impact on production and living conditions of the local population.The current results of study are summarized from five aspects:rise and evolution of sea level in the Yangtze River estuary under global climate change;changes in dynamic factors under the influence of human activities and climate change in the Yangtze River estuary;spatial-temporal distribution and water-salt exchange mechanism of seawater intrusion and risk of water supply security;impact of sea level rise on the ability of seawalls to defense flood and storm surge;and resilience of flood control and tide defense in the area of Yangtze River estuary.The research direction in the future is proposed to provide insight for securing water resources utilization and capacity of flood control and tide defense in the Yangtze River estuary.
丁磊;褚明华;朱建荣;潘军宁;俞茜;缴健;王逸飞;窦希萍
南京水利科学研究院,210024,南京中国水利水电科学研究院,100038,北京||水利部防洪抗旱减灾工程技术研究中心(水旱灾害防御中心),100038,北京华东师范大学,200241,上海南京水利科学研究院,210024,南京||四川大学,610065,成都
水利科学
长江口咸潮入侵防洪御潮供水安全海平面上升
Yangtze River estuarysaltwater intrusionflood control and tide defensewater supply securitysea level rise
《中国水利》 2024 (014)
18-26 / 9
国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3208500);国家自然科学基金(U2340225);南京水利科学研究院中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金项目(Y223002、Y220013);长江科学院开放研究基金资助项目(CKWV20221007/KY).
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