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基于非连续兰彻斯特方程的战役态势预测方法

吕学志

火力与指挥控制2024,Vol.49Issue(7):58-63,69,7.
火力与指挥控制2024,Vol.49Issue(7):58-63,69,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-0640.2024.07.009

基于非连续兰彻斯特方程的战役态势预测方法

Campaign Situation Prediction Method Based on Discontinuous Lanchester Equation

吕学志1

作者信息

  • 1. 解放军32179部队,北京 100021
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Campaign situation prediction is an important content of situation awareness and also the core work of intelligence analysis,it is of great significance for campaign operations.A method of campaign situation prediction based on discontinuous Lanchester equation is proposed.A discontinuous Lanchester equation is constructed for the important events that can affect the law of battlefield situa-tion change,and Lanchester is extended for force changes,effectiveness changes,and mode changes.Research cases are constructed,and the feasibility and practicability of method is verified.This method offers the advantages of simplicity,intuition,and ease of implementation.It can quickly predict the bat-tle situation according to the influential factors of the campaign situation.

关键词

兰彻斯特方程/战役态势/态势预测/态势认知

Key words

Lanchester equation/campaign situation/situation prediction/situation awareness

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

吕学志..基于非连续兰彻斯特方程的战役态势预测方法[J].火力与指挥控制,2024,49(7):58-63,69,7.

基金项目

全军军事理论科研基金资助项目(JJ2021D13-A008) (JJ2021D13-A008)

火力与指挥控制

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1002-0640

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