中国电力2024，Vol.57Issue(8)：46-54,66,10.DOI:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202308106
基于车辆行为模拟的加氢站氢负荷概率建模方法
Probabilistic Modeling Method of Hydrogen Load of Hydrogen Refueling Station Based on Vehicle Behavior Simulation
摘要
Abstract
The hydrogen load of hydrogen refueling station is affected by the travel behavior of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles,and its spatio-temporal distribution is highly uncertain.In order to study the distribution characteristics of hydrogen load of hydrogen refueling station and accurately describe the travel law of vehicle users,a probabilistic modeling method of hydrogen load of hydrogen refueling station based on vehicle behavior simulation is proposed in this paper.Firstly,the probability distribution of behavioral features(such as travel time,travel time,destination,travel distance,etc.)during vehicle travel is fitted based on the American household travel survey data set.Secondly,based on Monte Carlo simulation method,samples are extracted several times to form a travel chain composed of vehicle travel behavior.Finally,based on the type of travel destination,the hydrogen load characteristics of different regional hydrogen stations in one day were simulated.Through rational use of actual travel data and Monte Carlo simulation method,this paper can accurately describe the vehicle behavior law,and infer the hydrogen load characteristics of different regional hydrogen refueling stations according to the type of travel destination.关键词
加氢站/不确定性/车辆行为模拟/氢负荷概率建模方法/蒙特卡洛模拟Key words
hydrogen refueling station/uncertainty/vehicle behavior simulation/hydrogen load probability modeling method/Monte Carlo simulation引用本文复制引用
卢纯颢,周春丽,林溪桥,陈志君..基于车辆行为模拟的加氢站氢负荷概率建模方法[J].中国电力,2024,57(8):46-54,66,10.基金项目
广西电网公司科技项目(GXKJXM20222123).This work is supported by the Guangxi Power Grid Company Science and Technology Project Funding(No.GXKJXM20222123). （GXKJXM20222123）
