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中国商船通行北极东北航道现状及其经济效益分析

胡梦 崔濛 胡麦秀

海洋开发与管理2024,Vol.41Issue(4):18-30,13.
海洋开发与管理2024,Vol.41Issue(4):18-30,13.

中国商船通行北极东北航道现状及其经济效益分析

Analysis of the Current Situation and Economic Benefits of Chinese Merchant Ship Passage Through the Arctic Northeast Passage

胡梦 1崔濛 2胡麦秀1

作者信息

  • 1. 上海海洋大学 上海 201306
  • 2. 中国船舶及海洋工程设计研究院 上海 200011
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

With the expansion of the"Arctic Amplification"effect,the navigable period of the Arctic Northeast Passage(NEP)has gradually been lengthened,and its regular operation in summer has become a realistic possibility.Starting from the actual voyage data of Chinese mer-chant ships navigating the NEP,this paper analyzes the number of ships and voyages,ice class and ship type distribution,cargo volume and cargo type,transportation route distribution,nav-igable period and ice-breaking pilotage,and then calculates the profit of merchant ships.The re-sults show that the voyage number and cargo volume of Chinese merchant ships shipping via the NEP are at a relatively low level,but in terms of the general trend,the number of voyages of Chinese merchant ships shipping via the NEP is increasing year by year,and the cargo volume of Chinese merchant ships is also increasing.With the accelerated melting of the Arctic sea ice,the navigable period for ships to pass has been prolonged,which has greatly increased the possi-bility of regular commercial operation in the NEP;At present,Chinese merchant ships have a chance to operate in the NEP;With the accelerated melting of sea ice,the period for Chinese merchant ships to pass has been extended,thus making it possible for the NEP to realize regular commercial operation.

关键词

北极东北航道/常态化运营/航运经济性效益

Key words

Arctic Northeast Passage/Normalized operations/Economic benefits of shipping

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

胡梦,崔濛,胡麦秀..中国商船通行北极东北航道现状及其经济效益分析[J].海洋开发与管理,2024,41(4):18-30,13.

基金项目

教育部后期资助(重大)项目:"北极航道开发利用有关问题研究"(20JHQ016). (重大)

海洋开发与管理

1005-9857

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