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全球变暖背景下南海夏季风变化特征

朱茵霖 杨熙昊 翁翘楚 褚子禾 范伶俐

海洋气象学报2024,Vol.44Issue(3):60-67,8.
海洋气象学报2024,Vol.44Issue(3):60-67,8.DOI:10.19513/j.cnki.hyqxxb.20220629001

全球变暖背景下南海夏季风变化特征

Characteristics of the South China Sea summer monsoon under global warming

朱茵霖 1杨熙昊 1翁翘楚 1褚子禾 1范伶俐2

作者信息

  • 1. 广东海洋大学海洋与气象学院,广东湛江 524088
  • 2. 广东海洋大学海洋与气象学院,广东湛江 524088||广东海洋大学广东省高等学校陆架及深远海气候、资源与环境重点实验室,广东湛江 524088||中国气象局-广东海洋大学海洋气象联合实验室,广东湛江 524088
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摘要

Abstract

The onset and advance of the South China Sea summer monsoon affect the process of the summer rain belt in China.The NCEP(National Centers for Environmental Prediction)/NCAR(National Center for Atmospheric Research)reanalysis data are used to analyze the characteristics of changes in the South China Sea summer monsoon before/after global warming.The results show that the South China Sea summer monsoon is weakened after global warming,and the main features are as follows.(1)The average establishment time of the South China Sea summer monsoon is earlier,the average retreat time is delayed,the duration is longer,and the duration has an upward trend.(2)After the onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon(between June and September),the local circulation in the lower troposphere(below 700 hPa)in the northwest of the South China Sea caused by the thermal difference between land and sea tends to weaken after global warming,and the southwest summer monsoon entering South China and Southwest China tends to weaken.(3)During the prevailing summer monsoon,the southwest wind carrying water vapor from the Bay of Bengal into the South China Sea through the Indo-China Peninsula shows a decreasing trend,and the decrease in water vapor entering South China from the South China Sea leads to spatial differences in precipitation trends in eastern China.(4)The South China Sea summer monsoon index shows that the influence of the South China Sea summer monsoon on the south-central part of the South China Sea and the east of South China is strengthened,while the influence on the north of the South China Sea and Southwest China is weakened.

关键词

全球变暖/南海夏季风/水汽通量/降水

Key words

global warming/the South China Sea summer monsoon/water vapor flux/precipitation

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

朱茵霖,杨熙昊,翁翘楚,褚子禾,范伶俐..全球变暖背景下南海夏季风变化特征[J].海洋气象学报,2024,44(3):60-67,8.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金重大项目(72293604) (72293604)

广东省普通高校创新团队项目(2024KCXTD042) (2024KCXTD042)

广东海洋大学本科生创新创业团队项目(CCTD201805) (CCTD201805)

海洋气象学报

2096-3599

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