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中国民生发展水平评价指标体系构建与测度OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

Evaluation Index System Construction and Measurement of Chinese People's Livelihood Development Level

中文摘要英文摘要

文章基于社会质量理论视角,构建包含社会性保障、经济性保障、社会凝聚、社会包容、社会赋权维度的民生发展水平评价指标体系,采用熵值法测度2016-2020年我国30个省份的民生发展水平,并运用Mar-kov转移概率矩阵探讨民生发展水平的演进规律.研究表明:从整体来看,各省份的民生发展水平不高;除东部地区外,中部地区、西部地区和东北地区的民生发展水平均不高,而且各省份的民生发展水平缺乏稳定性,呈波动态势;较多省份属于低、极低质量民生发展水平,区域内部民生发展水平呈"分离"现象,东部地区的民生发展水平始终高于中部地区、西部地区和东北地区;各省份的民生发展水平有升级或降级的可能;民生发展水平的空间集聚呈"中心—外围—边缘"的圈层扩散分布格局,在空间格局上呈抱团状、零星状结构.

From the perspective of social quality theory,this paper constructs a people's livelihood development level evalu-ation index system that includes the dimensions of social security,economic security,social cohesion,social inclusion and social empowerment,then uses the entropy method to measure the level of people's livelihood development of 30 provinces in China from 2016 to 2020,and finally explores the evolution law of people's livelihood development level by using the Markov Transfer Probability Matrix.The results go as below:On the whole,the level of people's livelihood development in each province is not high.Except for the eastern region,the level of people's livelihood development in the central region,the western region and the northeastern region is not high,and the development level of people's livelihood in the provinces lacks stability and is fluctuating.Many provinces have a low or very low quality of people's livelihood development,and the level of people's livelihood develop-ment within the region shows a phenomenon of"separation".The level of people's livelihood development in the eastern region is always higher than that in the central region,the western region and the northeast region.The level of people's livelihood develop-ment in various provinces has the possibility of upgrading and downgrading.The spatial agglomeration of people's livelihood de-velopment level shows a circle diffusion distribution pattern of"center-periphery-periphery",and the spatial pattern of the devel-opment level of people's livelihood is cluster-like and sporadic.

于水;区小兰

南京农业大学 公共管理学院,南京 210095

经济学

民生发展社会质量理论指标体系测度评价

people's livelihood developmentsocial quality theoryindex systemmeasurement and evaluation

《统计与决策》 2024 (016)

39-44 / 6

国家社会科学基金重大项目(20ZDA023);国务院发展研究中心重大项目(2020GF001)

10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2024.16.007

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