现代信息科技2024，Vol.8Issue(15)：129-133,5.DOI:10.19850/j.cnki.2096-4706.2024.15.027
基于ARIMA模型的生产者价格指数预测
Prediction of Producer Price Index Based on ARIMA Model
陶永 1金良琼 1李琼忆 1苏燕青 1邹路燕 1冉烨军1
作者信息
- 1. 贵州民族大学 数据科学与信息工程学院,贵州 贵阳 550025
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Producer Price Index(PPI)is an indicator to measure the changes of raw materials,labor and other production costs paid by producers.It is of great significance to economic stability and enterprise management,and can help the government,central bank and enterprises make corresponding decisions and adjustments.This paper selects the monthly data of PPI from January in 2013 to July in 2023,establishes the AMIMA(1,0,2)model,and uses this model to predict the PPI from January to July in 2013.Then,the prediction results are compared with the actual values.The results show that the model has a good prediction effect and provides a reliable prediction for the PPI index in the next six months,which provides an important reference for formulating economic policies.关键词
ARIMA模型/生产者价格指数(PPI)/短期预测Key words
ARIMA model/Producer Price Index(PPI)/short-term prediction分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
陶永,金良琼,李琼忆,苏燕青,邹路燕,冉烨军..基于ARIMA模型的生产者价格指数预测[J].现代信息科技,2024,8(15):129-133,5.
