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2024年上半年中国马铃薯市场形势回顾和后期展望OA

China's Potato Market Situation in the First Half of 2024 and Its Future Prospects

中文摘要英文摘要

受冬季马铃薯产量提高和库存秋薯数量偏多影响,2024年前 4 个月中国马铃薯市场价格同比下跌;在春薯产量增加、马铃薯品质下降和蔬菜价格偏低等因素共同作用下,5-6 月马铃薯市场价格延续同比下跌趋势.总的看,2024 年上半年马铃薯市场价格低于上年同期水平,但从近 10年同期值来看,按照从高到低排序,2024 年上半年马铃薯价格居第5 位,总体处于中等水平.由于2024年春薯和秋薯种植面积均扩大,在不发生大规模、持续性自然灾害的情况下,下半年马铃薯市场价格预计会延续同比下跌趋势.目前,中国马铃薯产业仍存在薯价波动幅度大、生产技术水平偏低和品牌保护不足等问题.基于此,建议各地促进产销对接、加大科技研发推广以及强化品牌保护,进一步推动中国马铃薯产业高质量发展.

Due to the increase in winter potato production and the excessive inventory of autumn potatoes,the potato market prices in the first four months of 2024 decreased year-on-year;under the combined effects of increased spring potato production,decreased potato quality,and low vegetable prices,the potato market prices continued to decline year-on-year from May to June 2024.Overall,the potato market prices in the first half of 2024 were lower than that during the same period last year.However,based on the same period values in the past 10 years,in descending order,the potato prices in the first half of this year ranked fifth and were generally at a moderate level.Due to the expansion of planting areas for both spring and autumn potatoes this year,it is expected that the potato market price will continue to decline year-on-year in the second half of the year without large-scale and sustained natural disasters.At present,the potato industry still faces problems such as large fluctuations in potato prices,low production technology levels,and insufficient brand protection.Based on this,various regions should promote production and sales integration,increase scientific and technological research and development promotion,and strengthen brand protection to further promote the high-quality development of China's potato industry.

周向阳;赵令卓;张晶;程国栋;邢丽玮;杨璐;吴建寨

中国农业科学院农业信息研究所/农业农村部农业大数据重点实验室 北京 100081中国农业科学院成果转化局 北京 100081

马铃薯生产价格市场形势展望

potatoproductionpricemarket situationoutlook

《农业展望》 2024 (007)

3-6 / 4

中国农业科学院科技创新工程(CAAS-ZDRW202420);国家社会科学基金一般项目(22BGL176);中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项(JBYW-AII-2024-16);中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项(JBYW-AII-2023-11);中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项(JBYW-AII-2023-16);中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项(JBYW-AII-2023-38)

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