黄河流域城市群新型城镇化—生态安全—公共健康协调发展研究OACHSSCDCSTPCD

To improve the ecological environment of the Yellow River Basin,strengthen Yellow River governance and protection,and promote high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin region,this paper selected panel data from 60 prefecture-level cities(prefectures)in 7 urban agglomerations in the Yellow River Basin from 2002 to 2021.The entropy weight method,comprehensive eval-uation model,coupling coordination degree model,and BP neural network model were applied to analyze and explore the coordinated de-velopment status and spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of new urbanization,ecological security,and public health in the 7 urban agglomerations of the Yellow River Basin,as well as their future development trends.The results showed that:①The development levels of new urbanization,ecological security,and public health subsystems in the urban agglomerations of the Yellow River Basin had gener-ally improved from 2002 to 2021.②The coupling coordination level of the new urbanization-ecological security-public health system showed a fluctuating growth trend overall.In the overall pattern,the development levels of the Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration and the Central Plains urban agglomeration,located in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River Basin,were relatively good,while other urban agglomerations were relatively poor.③It was predicted that the coordination level of the new urbanization-ecological security-public health system in each urban agglomeration in the Yellow River Basin would significantly improve overall from 2022 to 2026.Based on the evaluation and prediction results,corresponding policy recommendations were proposed.