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中国沿海港口物流效率测度及影响因素研究OACHSSCDCSTPCD

Research on the measurement of and influencing factors on China's coastal port logistics efficiency

中文摘要英文摘要

港口物流效率测度及影响因素识别是实现港口可持续发展的关键,也是助推区域经济发展的有力保障.采用超效率SBM模型、Nich-Hurst演化趋势模型探究中国沿海港口物流效率及未来发展趋势,并采用Tobit模型识别港口物流效率的影响因素.结果表明:①中国沿海港口物流效率总体呈波动上升趋势,但受相关政策和国内外经济环境影响,存在明显的港际演化差异;②中国沿海港口物流效率空间差异显著,呈现"北高南低"的空间分布特征;③未来中国沿海港口物流效率表现出较好的上升趋势,同时也存在空间差异继续扩大的风险;④集疏运能力、经济实力和科技创新对港口物流效率具有较强的正向驱动作用,对外开放对港口物流效率具有负向驱动作用.

The measurement of port logistics efficiency and the identification of its influencing factors is the key to achieving port sustainable development and a powerful guarantee for boosting regional economic development.The super-efficiency SBM model and the Nich-Hurst evolutionary trend model were used to explore China's coastal port logistics efficiency and the future development trend,and the Tobit model was used to identify the influencing factors of port logistics efficiency.The results showed that:①China's coastal port logistics efficiency generally showed a fluctuating upward trend,but there were obvious inter-port evolutionary differences due to the influence of relevant policies and domestic and international economic environments.②The spatial difference in China's coastal port logistics efficiency was significant,showing the spatial distribution characteristics of"high in the north and low in the south".③China's coastal port logistics efficiency showed a better upward trend in the future,while there was also a risk that spatial differences would continue to widen.④Concentration and evacuation capacity,economic strength and scientific and technological inno-vation had a strong positive driving effect on port logistics efficiency,while opening-up level to the outside world had a negative driving effect on port logistics efficiency.

邓昭;刘璐;李亚男;段伟;周玉涛

燕山大学公共管理学院,河北秦皇岛 066004||河北科技师范学院海洋经济与沿海经济带研究中心,河北秦皇岛 066004燕山大学公共管理学院,河北秦皇岛 066004大连海事大学交通运输工程学院,辽宁大连 116026

港口物流效率影响因素超效率SBMTobit模型

port logistics efficiencyinfluencing factorssuper-efficiency SBMTobit model

《资源开发与市场》 2024 (009)

1342-1349 / 8

秦皇岛市市级科技计划资助项目(编号:202201B040);河北省高等学校人文社会科学重点研究基地经费资助(编号:HYYB202304);河北省社会科学基金项目(编号:HB23ZT075);河北省教育厅科学研究项目资助(编号:BJS2024067);燕山大学国家社科基金培育项目(编号:2023PY010).

10.3969/j.issn.1005-8141.2024.09.008

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