饲料研究2024，Vol.47Issue(16)：182-185,4.DOI:10.13557/j.cnki.issn1002-2813.2024.16.032
中国饲料添加剂市场价格波动影响因素的实证研究
An empirical study on influencing factors of market price fluctuation of feed additives in China
摘要
Abstract
The price fluctuation of feed additives has a direct impact on the development of feed industry and the quality of feed products of farmers.Additionally,it plays a vital role in enhancing the income of breeders and in propelling the stable development of the economy and society.This article selects 168 monthly data from 2010 to 2023 and uses a vector autoregressive model to explore the main factors affecting the market price fluctuation of feed additives from the price of feed additives themselves and the internal and external levels.The results showed that the price of feed additives is most affected by itself,and the contribution rate is still 64.19％in the 9th period.In terms of external factors,the most significant influences on the price of feed additives are feed demand and related policies of breeding industry.Among them,the demand for feed in the 9th period has 7.54％impact on the price of feed additives in the month.In terms of internal factors,the two factors that have the most obvious impact on the price fluctuation of feed additives are the production price of raw materials and the wholesale price of raw materials.Among them,the production price of raw materials in the 9th period has a 9.04％impact on the price of feed additives.The study shows that the market price fluctuations of feed additives in China is most affected by itself,and the other influencing factors are in order of production prices of raw materials,feed demand,wholesale prices of raw materials,policies related to the breeding industry,transportation prices of raw materials,seasonal factors,and domestic and foreign futures.关键词
价格波动/饲料添加剂市场价格/向量自回归模型/饲料需求量Key words
price fluctuation/market price of feed additives/vector autoregressive model/feed requirement分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
高秋瑾..中国饲料添加剂市场价格波动影响因素的实证研究[J].饲料研究,2024,47(16):182-185,4.基金项目
河南省科技厅项目(项目编号:162400410541) （项目编号:162400410541）
