安全与环境工程2024，Vol.31Issue(5)：51-61,11.DOI:10.13578/j.cnki.issn.1671-1556.20231087
地下空间坍塌应急救援现场环境安全风险评价及预测
Assessment and prediction of environmental safety risk at the site of emergency rescue for underground space collapse
摘要
Abstract
To ensure the safety of emergency rescue operations and the normal functioning of equipment in un-derground space collapse incidents,and to enhance the safety assurance capabilities of emergency rescue opera-tions,it is pivotal to first establish an environmental safety risk assessment indicator system for underground space collapse emergency rescue scenes.By integrating the analytic hierarchy process(AHP)and the technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution(TOPSIS)method,the safety status of the on-site environ-ment can be evaluated.Subsequently,combining the autoregressive moving average(ARMA)and exponential smoothing models,the future safety status of the site environment within a certain period can be forecasted.Ul-timately,the assessment and prediction models are applied to a rescue case in a coal mine drilling site,with recommendations and improvements proposed for the rescue operation.The research results can provide data and a decision-making basis for the safety protection system and the configuration of ventilation facilities on the emergency rescue sites of underground spaces.关键词
地下空间坍塌/应急救援现场/安全风险评价/预测预警/层次分析法/理想点法/自回归移动平均Key words
underground space collapse/emergency rescue site/safety risk assessment/predictive early warning/analytic hierarchy process(AHP)/technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution(TOPSIS)/au-toregressive moving average(ARMA)分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
谢众智,李升连,郑惜雯,古力,张国华,倪晓阳..地下空间坍塌应急救援现场环境安全风险评价及预测[J].安全与环境工程,2024,31(5):51-61,11.基金项目
国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3005904-4) （2022YFC3005904-4）
