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中国气电发展的制约因素及政策建议OACHSSCDCSTPCD

Constraints and policy recommendations for natural gas power generation in China

中文摘要英文摘要

气电比煤电更加清洁低碳,可替代煤炭充当一部分基荷或腰荷电源;气电比煤电更加灵活,可作为优质的灵活性电源,承担调峰作用;从天然气掺氢过渡到纯氢发电,可助推电氢耦合发展,增加电力系统消纳新能源的能力;气电与新能源融合更可满足新增电力需求,尤其是人工智能、大数据等新兴产业对清洁电力的需求.尽管天然气发电的优势十分突出,但其发展仍受到许多现实因素的影响,当下在中国呈现"体量有限、区域集中、利用偏低、潜力待发"的局面.天然气发电是建设新型电力系统的重要支撑,通过对天然气和电力行业的综合分析,从政策、资源、市场、技术4个方面系统梳理了中国气电发展的制约因素,并提出相应政策建议:加强顶层设计和产业政策支持;加大国内增储上产力度和进口资源池建设,加快储运基础设施建设,大幅提高资源保障程度;持续推进天然气市场和电力市场化改革;加大燃气轮机技术攻关力度,突破燃气轮机制造和运维"卡脖子"难题.

Natural gas power generation could offer significant advantages over coal-fired power generation,including cleaner energy and lower carbon emissions,replacing coal as part of the base load or intermediate load power supply,more flexible than coal power,and can be used as a high-quality flexible power supply to take on the role of peak shaving.The transition from natural gas mixed with hydrogen to pure hydrogen power generation can boost the development of electric-hydrogen coupling and increase the power system's ability to consume new energy.The integration of natural gas power generation and new energy can meet the demand for new power,especially the demand for clean power in emerging industries such as artificial intelligence and big data.Despite all these benefits,it faces many constraints,resulting in such status as limited capacity,geographical concentration,low utilization rates,and untapped potential.Since natural gas power generation is an important support for the construction of a new power system,this paper makes a comprehensive analysis of the natural gas and power sectors to systematically identify the constraints on the development of natural gas power generation from the perspectives of policy,resources,market,and technology and puts forward such recommendations as to strengthen top-level design and industrial policy support,increase domestic gas storage&production and import resource pool construction,and accelerate the construction of storage and transportation infrastructure to significantly improve the level of resource security,as well as continue to promote market-oriented reforms in both natural gas and electricity markets and promote domestic manufacturing and maintenance of gas turbines to conquer the technical bottlenecks.

朱兴珊;沈学思;李天一;蒙青山

北京大学能源研究院中国石油规划总院中国石油国际事业新加坡公司中国城市燃气协会分布式能源专业委员会

碳达峰碳中和制约因素天然气发电新型电力系统氢能电力市场政策

carbon peaking and carbon neutralityconstraintsnatural gas power generationnew power systemhydrogen energyelectricity marketpolicies

《国际石油经济》 2024 (008)

15-26 / 12

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