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2023年3月河南省一次极端暴雪和雷电天气成因分析OACSTPCD

Causes analysis of extreme snowstorm and lightning in He'nan province in March of 2023

中文摘要英文摘要

选用自动气象站、双偏振雷达、风廓线雷达和ERA5 再分析等资料,分析2023 年3 月16 日河南省一次极端暴雪和雷电天气成因.结果表明:此次极端暴雪过程主要天气系统为低槽、切变线、急流以及东北冷涡.冷涡配合-39℃冷中心稳定维持,其后部冷空气持续南下,850 hPa以下形成深厚冷垫,中高层西南暖湿气流沿冷垫爬升,形成河南省典型的降雪天气类型"天南地北型".此次强降雪区位于整层大气可降水量大于20 mm区域的北部与700 hPa强辐合中心重叠的区域,河南中西部地形的抬升作用利于此极端降雪天气发生.冷平流与其次级环流共同作用,使局地气温骤降,导致降水相态转换较预期提前,以致多站降雪量或积雪深度超历史极值.双偏振雷达零滞后相关系数产品(CC)为相态转换监测提供了重要参考.850 hPa以下大气温度均低于0℃,且2m气温降至1℃左右,可作为降雪预报指标.辐合切变及锋面次级环流有利于高架雷暴天气出现,20 dBz回波高度超过-20℃层高度可作为产生雷暴的关键指标.

Using automatic weather stations,dual-polarization radar,wind profile radar and ERA5 reanalysis data,the causes of an extreme snowstorm and lightning weather event that occurred in He'nan province on March 16,2023,were analyzed.The results showed that the main weather systems responsible for this extreme snowstorm process were the trough,shear line,jet stream,and Northeast Cold Vortex(NCV).The cold vortex,maintained stably with the-39℃cold center,permitted cold air to persistently move southward at its rear,forming a deep cold cushion below 850 hPa.Meanwhile,southwest warm and moist airflows ascended along the cold cushion in the middle and upper levels,forming a typical"north-south type"snowfall weather pattern in He'nan province.The heavy snowfall area overlapped the northern region where the total precipitable water was 20 mm and the 700 hPa strong convergence center.The topographical uplift of the central and western regions of He'nan further facilitated this extreme snowfall event.The joint effect of cold advection and secondary circulation caused a sudden drop in local temperature,leading to an earlier-than-expected phase transition,resulting in multisite snowfall or snow depth exceeding historical records.The correlation coefficient product from the dual-polarization radar pro-vided an important reference for monitoring phase transitions.Below 850 hPa,the air temperature was consistently below 0℃,and the 2-meter temperature dropped to around 1℃,serving as forecasting indicators for snowfall.Convergent shear and frontal secondary circulation were favorable for elevated thunderstorms,with the height of the 20 dBz echo exceeding-20℃level can serve as a critical indicator for the occurrence of thunderstorms.

崔丽曼;谷秀杰;席乐;张亚春;薛紫月

中国气象局·河南省农业气象保障与应用技术重点开放实验室,河南郑州 450003||河南省气象台,河南郑州 450003

大气科学

降雪预报雷暴天气东北冷涡相态转换

Snowfall forecastThunderstormsNortheast Cold Vortex(NCV)Phase transition

《气象与环境学报》 2024 (004)

10-18 / 9

中国气象局复盘总结专项(FPZJ2024-077)和河南省气象局面上项目(KM202302)共同资助.

10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2024.04.002

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