2022年5月江西省降水量气候趋势预测评估分析OACSTPCD
Assessment and analysis of climate trend predictions for precipitation in May of 2022 in Jiangxi province
选用地面观测、NCEP再分析等资料,应用青藏高原积雪面积距平指数和大气环流指数,对比实况与气候动力模式结果,对2022 年5 月江西省降水量气候预测进行评估,并分析预测信号及其应用情况.结果表明:2022 年 5 月气候动力模式"江西省南部降水偏多"的总体降水气候特征预测较为准确,且"江西省存在降水集中期,部分地区有洪涝发生"的预测与实况相一致,5 月降水过程的预报基本准确,但江西省北部以及中部地区的旱情预报等级偏小.前期预测综合了拉尼娜事件、前…查看全部>>
Based on datasets from ground observations and NCEP reanalysis,the climate prediction derived from the dynamic model was evaluated towards the precipitation in Jiangxi province in May of 2022,using the Tibetan Plateau snow cover anomaly index and atmospheric circulation index.Additionally,the predictive signals and their applications were also analyzed.The results showed that the model prediction of"above-normal precipitation in southern Jiangxi province"is …查看全部>>
刘雅楠;吴琼;李勇
江西省气象科学研究所,江西南昌 330046江西省气候中心,江西南昌 330046江西省气候中心,江西南昌 330046
大气科学
拉尼娜青藏高原积雪印度洋暖海温
La NiñaSnow cover over Tibetan PlateauWarm sea surface temperature in Indian Ocean
《气象与环境学报》 2024 (4)
37-45,9
江西省气象局省所改革专项(JX2023Z11)和江西省气象局面上项目(JX2023M20)共同资助.
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