灾害学2024，Vol.39Issue(4)：1-7,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2024.04.001
城市暴雨内涝灾害的链式成灾路径分析—基于DEMATEL-AISM-MICMAC模型
Analysis of Chain Disaster Path of Urban Rainstorm Waterlogging Disaster—Based on the DEMATEL-AISM-MICMAC Model
摘要
Abstract
Urban rainstorm waterlogging is essentially a disaster system problem.Affected by disaster causing factors and disaster pregnant environment,urban waterlogging caused by rainstorm not only conforms to the disas-ter system research problem,but also follows the chain transmission mechanism.Therefore research from the per-spective of disaster system is carried out,and the chain disaster path of urban rainstorm and waterlogging disaster is explored by constructing the DEMATEL-AISM-MICMAC model.DEMATEL-AISM-MICMAC model has the ad-vantage of analyzing the hierarchical relationship of influencing factors.The analysis results can clarify the transmis-sion relationship between the factors in the process of rainstorm waterlogging,and thus summarize four chain paths of urban rainstorm waterlogging(urban construction factor dominated transmission path,climate and urban func-tion factor co driven transmission path,urban infrastructure factor dominated transmission path,emergency man-agement dominated transmission path);MICMAC divides the influencing factors into driving factor group,depen-dent factor group,and autonomous factor group,and verifies that the urbanization process has a strong driving ef-fect on urban waterlogging.Finally,countermeasures and suggestions are proposed from three aspects as urban in-frastructure,climate change and resilient cities,and disaster warning.关键词
城市暴雨内涝/灾害系统/链式成灾路径/DEMATEL-AISM-MICMAC模型Key words
urban rainstorm and waterlogging/disaster systems/chain disaster path/DEMATEL-AISM-MICMAC model分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
闫绪娴,王俊丽,孔锋,米俊,刘杨..城市暴雨内涝灾害的链式成灾路径分析—基于DEMATEL-AISM-MICMAC模型[J].灾害学,2024,39(4):1-7,7.基金项目
国家社科学基金一般项目"我国城市暴雨内涝灾害形成机理、韧性评估与防治对策研究"(20BGL260) （20BGL260）
