灾害学2024，Vol.39Issue(4)：76-80,147,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2024.04.011
澜湄次区域减灾合作发展的随机演化博弈模型
The Random Evolutionary Game Model of Disaster Reduction Cooperation Development in the Lancang-Mekong Sub-region
摘要
Abstract
Over an extended period,the Lancang-Mekong sub-region has faced persistent threats from di-saster risks,posing substantial impediments to the socio-economic progress of the region.Establishing cooperative efforts in disaster reduction emerges is a potent strategy to fortify resilience against such calamities.A stochastic evolutionary game model is employed to scrutinize the mechanisms of disaster reduction cooperation among sub-regional countries and discern pivotal factors influencing cooperative relationships.The model incorporates consid-erations of disaster resilience and international relations to elucidate the dynamic evolution of game strategies among countries in the Lancang-Mekong sub-region and their influencing factors.The findings reveal that the en-hancement of a country′s disaster resilience,regardless of the impact of random factors,does not inherently dic-tate its ability to foster a cooperative development scenario.Notably,the proximity of international relations exhib-its a positive influence on the cultivation of cooperative situations.In the contemporary era,there is a discernible upswing in countries′ enthusiasm for disaster reduction cooperation.Simultaneously,the decision-making behav-ior of our country presently plays a consequential role in fostering cooperative situations.By dissecting the coopera-tion evolution patterns within the Lancang-Mekong sub-region,valuable insights is provided for nations to bolster their disaster prevention,reduction,and relief capabilities.Furthermore,a foundation is offered to optimize di-saster reduction cooperation mechanisms,thereby contributing meaningfully to both economic and social development.关键词
澜湄次区域/减灾合作/灾害抗逆力/随机演化博弈模型Key words
Lancang-Mekong subregion/disaster reduction cooperation/disaster resilience/stochastic evolutionary game model分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
何树红,黄振雄..澜湄次区域减灾合作发展的随机演化博弈模型[J].灾害学,2024,39(4):76-80,147,6.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目"西南地区泥石流灾害损失测度及救灾管理研究"(71661030) （71661030）
