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基于多源数据的河北省雷电灾害风险评估研究

李思媛 陈笑娟 陈小雷 陶军 许映军 周杰 张化

灾害学2024,Vol.39Issue(4):153-161,9.
灾害学2024,Vol.39Issue(4):153-161,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2024.04.022

基于多源数据的河北省雷电灾害风险评估研究

The Lightning Disaster Risk Assessment Based on Multi-source Data in Hebei

李思媛 1陈笑娟 2陈小雷 2陶军 3许映军 3周杰 1张化3

作者信息

  • 1. 北京师范大学 地理科学学部 减灾与应急管理研究院,北京 100875
  • 2. 河北省气象灾害防御与气象环境中心,河北 石家庄 050021
  • 3. 北京师范大学国家安全与应急管理学院,北京 100875
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Hebei Province is located in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Bohai Rim Economic Circle,and plays an important role in economic location.Frequent severe convective weather makes lightning activities some-times pose a huge threat to human life and property.Based on the theory of natural disaster risk assessment,we se-lect environmental disaster factors and meteorological disaster factors from the two dimensions of spatial distribution and time aggregation of lightning,take population,economy,railway and lightning protection safety supervision objects as the main disaster bearing bodies,describe the degree of vulnerability by using historical disaster condi-tions and protection capabilities under different land uses,and then evaluate and analyze the risk of lightning di-sasters in Hebei Province.The results show that:① In the main urban areas of Hebei Province,the areas with highest lightning risk and high risk accounted for 19.38%and 49.92%respectively;② The highest risk areas are mainly located in the southeast region with strong human activities and high level of economic development,and the areas with more serious lightning disasters over the years.③ The disaster victims in the extremely high risk areas are dense,with GDP,population,lightning protection safety supervision objects reaching 74 million yuan/km2,0.12 million people/km2,and 0.20/km2 respectively.There is a significant positive correlation between the evaluation results and the historical disaster situation(R2=0.522 9).The evaluation results can provide reference for local lightning protection and disaster reduction management.

关键词

雷电灾害/风险评估/河北省/多源数据

Key words

lightning disaster/risk assessment/Hebei province/multi-source data

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

李思媛,陈笑娟,陈小雷,陶军,许映军,周杰,张化..基于多源数据的河北省雷电灾害风险评估研究[J].灾害学,2024,39(4):153-161,9.

基金项目

河北省重点研发计划项目"基于多源异构数据的暴雨、强对流灾害综合风险评估与区划关键技术研究"(21375410D) (21375410D)

灾害学

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1000-811X

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