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仓室模型在部队营区突发呼吸道传染病防控中的潜在应用研究

王雪纯 张曦小雪 杨姗姗 刘淼

军事医学2024,Vol.48Issue(9):686-689,4.
军事医学2024,Vol.48Issue(9):686-689,4.DOI:10.7644/j.issn.1674-9960.2024.09.008

仓室模型在部队营区突发呼吸道传染病防控中的潜在应用研究

Potential applications of a compartment model in the prevention and control of emerging respiratory infectious diseases in military camps

王雪纯 1张曦小雪 1杨姗姗 2刘淼1

作者信息

  • 1. 解放军总医院研究生院,北京 100853
  • 2. 解放军总医院第一医学中心疾病预防控制科,北京 100853
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Military camps are characterized by compact space and high personnel density,which increases the risk of emerging respiratory infectious diseases and makes prevention and control difficult.One effective solution is to use a compartment model for early warning,prediction of epidemic outbreaks,and for optimization of precautions.Given the strong similarities in the transmission of emerging respiratory infectious diseases across military camps and communities,this article summarizes the cases where compartment models have been used both at home and abroad,constructs a susceptible-exposed-infectious-removed model and a susceptible-exposed-infectious-quarantined-removed model,and simulates the prediction of trends and selection of prevention and control measures in typical military camp scenarios after the outbreak of an epidemic in hopes of providing references for the prevention and control of emerging respiratory infectious diseases and for the construction of a regional intelligent early warning platform in military camps.

关键词

部队营区/突发呼吸道传染病/传染病动力学模型/仓室模型/疫情防控

Key words

military camp/emerging respiratory infectious diseases/epidemic dynamics model/compartment model/epidemic prevention and control

分类

医药卫生

引用本文复制引用

王雪纯,张曦小雪,杨姗姗,刘淼..仓室模型在部队营区突发呼吸道传染病防控中的潜在应用研究[J].军事医学,2024,48(9):686-689,4.

基金项目

军事医学学科教材体系(145BXL090009000X) (145BXL090009000X)

军事保健专项(22BJZ25) (22BJZ25)

军事医学

OACSTPCD

1674-9960

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