中国电机工程学报2024，Vol.44Issue(17)：6707-6720,14.DOI:10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.240634
"双碳"目标下我国能源电力系统发展趋势分析:绿电替代与绿氢替代
Analysis of the Development Trend of China's Energy and Power System Under the Dual Carbon Target:Green Electricity Substitution and Green Hydrogen Substitution
摘要
Abstract
The low-carbon transition of energy and power systems is the key to achieving carbon peak and carbon neutrality targets.In order to assess the future development trend of China's energy and power system under the targets,this study constructs a medium-and long-term energy and power development calculating model considering green electricity substitution and green hydrogen substitution.Based on the model,the development scenario of China's energy and power system from 2020 to 2060 is simulated,and the evolution trends of relevant core indicators are analyzed.Finally,for the coordinated development of green electricity,green hydrogen,and existing energy systems,this paper proposes the plans of integrated energy development models.The results indicate that the"dual substitution"of traditional fossil fuels with green electricity as the main source and green hydrogen as a supplement,will play a decisive role in the construction of new energy systems and new power systems.Through the analysis of the concept,structure and function of the integrated energy production unit(IEPU)at the supply side and the integrated energy production and consumption unit(IECU)at the end side,this paper provides a reference for the construction of new energy systems and new power systems.关键词
绿电替代/绿氢替代/能源电力系统/发展趋势/综合能源生产单元/综合能源产消单元Key words
green electricity substitution/green hydrogen substitution/energy and power system/development trend/integrated energy production unit/integrated energy production and consumption unit分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
周孝信,赵强,张玉琼,杨宏华.."双碳"目标下我国能源电力系统发展趋势分析:绿电替代与绿氢替代[J].中国电机工程学报,2024,44(17):6707-6720,14.基金项目
国家电网有限公司科技项目"高韧性电力系统灵活性资源需求分析"(5100-202355762A-3-5-YS).Science and Technology Project of State Grid Corporation of China"Research on the Flexibility Resource Requirements of a High-resilience Power System"(5100-202355762A-3-5-YS). （5100-202355762A-3-5-YS）
