基于免疫炎症指标的慢性鼻窦炎伴鼻息肉患者术后嗅觉障碍风险模型的建立及验证OA北大核心CSTPCD
Development and validation of a risk model for postoperative olfactory impairment in patients with chronic sinusitis with nasal polyps based on immunoinflammatory indexes
目的:基于免疫炎症指标探讨慢性鼻窦炎伴鼻息肉(CRSwNP)患者术后嗅觉障碍风险模型的建立及验证.方法:回顾性分析2020年10月至2022年10月在海南医学院第二附属医院就诊的CRSwNP患者资料,100例患者均行鼻内镜手术,根据术后嗅觉测试结果分为无嗅觉障碍组(44例)和嗅觉障碍组(56例),比较分析两组的基线资料与常规检查指标,采用Logistic多因素回归分析影响CRSwNP患者嗅觉障碍的独立危险变量,并构建列线图预测模型及验证.结果:两组CRSwNP患者的分型分期、病变部位、Lund-Mackay评分、嗅裂前区评分、嗅裂后区评分、血清嗜酸性细胞百分比、上鼻甲黏膜嗅觉标志蛋白阳性细胞计数、尿素氮差异有统计学意义(P<0.05).嗅觉障碍组的IL-5、人嗜酸性粒细胞阳离子蛋白(ECP)/过氧化物酶(MPO)、金属蛋白酶组织抑制剂1(TIMP1)、趋化因子2(CCL2)、趋化因子3(CCL3)、趋化因子4(CCL4)、组织标本总免疫球蛋白E(IgE)、血清标本总IgE均高于无嗅觉障碍组,差异具有统计学意义(P<0.05).多因素Logistic结果为分型分期、病变部位、Lund-Mackay评分、嗅裂前区评分、嗅裂后区评分、IL-5、ECP/MPO、CCL4、组织标本总IgE均为CRSwNP患者嗅觉障碍的独立危险因素;而上鼻甲黏膜嗅觉标志蛋白阳性细胞计数则是CRSwNP患者嗅觉障碍的独立保护因素(P<0.05).建立列线图模型验证结果提示训练集和验证集的C-index分别为0.858、0.825,受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.853、0.815.结论:基于免疫炎症指标建立了CRSwNP患者术后嗅觉障碍风险模型,该模型具有较高的预测性能,有助于指导临床决策.
Objective:To explore the establishment and validation of a risk model for postoperative olfactory impairment in pa-tients with chronic sinusitis with nasal polyps(CRSwNP)based on immunoinflammatory indexes.Methods:Retrospective analysis of 100 patients who attended CRSwNP in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Hainan Medical College from October 2020 to October 2022 all underwent nasal endoscopic surgery and were divided into no olfactory impairment group(44 cases)and olfactory impairment group(56 cases)according to the results of postoperative olfactory test,baseline data and routine examination indexes of the two groups were compared and analyzed,independent risk variables affecting olfactory impairment in CRSwNP patients were analyzed by Logistic multifactorial regression,and columnar graph prediction model was constructed and validated.Results:There were statistical-ly significant differences in staging,lesion site,Lund-Mackay score,anterior olfactory fissure score,posterior olfactory fissure score,percentage of serum eosinophils,olfactory marker protein-positive cell count in the upper turbinate mucosa,and urea nitrogen be-tween the two groups of CRSwNP patients(P<0.05).IL-5,human eosinophil cationic protein(ECP)/peroxidase(MPO),tissue inhib-itor of metalloproteinases 1(TIMP1),chemokine 2(CCL2),chemokine 3(CCL3),chemokine 4(CCL4),total immunoglobulin E(IgE)of tissue specimens,and total IgE of serum specimens in the olfactory impairment group were higher than those in the group without olfactory impairment,the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).The multifactorial logistic results were that stag-ing,lesion site,Lund-Mackay score,anterior olfactory fissure score,posterior olfactory fissure score,IL-5,ECP/MPO,CCL4,and total IgE of tissue specimens were all independent risk factors affecting olfactory impairment in patients with CRSwNP;while olfactory marker protein-positive cell count in the upper turbinate mucosa was an independent protective factor for olfactory impairment in pa-tients with CRSwNP.The results were validated by establishing a line graph model.The validation results of building the column line graph model suggested that the C-index of the training and validation sets were 0.858 and 0.825,respectively,and the area under the characteristic curve(AUC)of the subject patients were 0.853 and 0.815,respectively.Conclusion:A model to explore the risk of postoperative olfactory impairment in CRSwNP patients based on immunoinflammatory indexes has been established,the model with high predictive performance to help guide clinical decision making.
宋杰;汪奕龙;曾春荣
海南医学院第二附属医院耳鼻咽喉头颈外科,海口 570000
临床医学
慢性鼻窦炎鼻息肉嗅觉障碍
Chronic sinusitisNasal polypsOlfactory impairment
《中国免疫学杂志》 2024 (009)
1933-1939 / 7
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