中国海洋产业链现代化水平测度与影响因素研究OACHSSCDCSTPCD
Research on the measurement and influencing factors of modernization level of China's marine industry chain
推进海洋产业链现代化是构建现代化产业体系和加快建设海洋强国的客观要求.通过构建海洋产业链现代化评价指标体系,采用熵值法对2011-2021年中国省域海洋产业链现代化水平进行测度,利用核密度估计方法对其时空演变特征进行分析,最后借助地理探测器和多元线性回归模型识别影响因素.结果表明:①中国海洋产业链现代化水平逐年升高,海洋产业链韧性、创新性和安全性水平呈上升趋势,可持续性水平呈先下降后上升的波动变化态势.②海洋产业链现代化水平较高的地区增速较大,低值区追赶效应逐渐减弱,空间非均衡性增强,区域差异呈扩大趋势.③山东、广东海洋产业链现代化水平处领先地位,河北和广西水平较低;海洋产业链韧性、可持续性和创新性水平向以高水平为主的多元类型交错格局演进,环渤海以南地区普遍高于北部;海洋产业链安全性向单一高值集聚态势发展.④技术创新、数字化和对外开放水平是海洋产业链现代化水平时空异质性的关键驱动因素,经济基础、产业结构和金融发展水平影响程度稍弱.
Promoting the modernization of the marine industrial chain is an objective requirement for building a modernized indus-trial system and accelerating the construction of a powerful marine country.By constructing an evaluation index system for the moderni-zation of the marine industry chain,using the entropy value method,this paper measured the level of modernization of the marine indus-try chain in China's provinces from 2011 to 2021,utilizing the kernel density estimation method to analyze the characteristics of the spa-tio-temporal evolution,and finally identifying the influencing factors with the aid of Geogdetector and the multivariate linear regression model.The results showed that:①The modernization level of China's marine industrial chain was increasing year by year.The level of resilience,innovativeness and security of the marine industrial chain were on the rise,and the level of sustainability was showing a fluc-tuating trend of change,with a decline followed by an increase.②Areas with higher levels of modernization of the marine industry chain grew at a higher rate,the catching-up effect of low-value areas gradually weakened,spatial imbalances increased and regional differ-ences showed a trend of expansion.③Shandong and Guangdong were in a leading position in terms of the level of modernization of the marine industry chain,while Hebei and Guangxi were at a lower level.The level of resilience,sustainability and innovativeness of the marine industry chain was evolving towards a staggered pattern of multiple types with a high level of resilience,with the area south of the Bohai Rim being generally higher than that in the north;and the security was evolving towards a single high-value agglomeration pat-tern.④ Technological innovation,digitalization and the level of openness to the outside world were the key drivers of the spatio-tempo-ral heterogeneity in the level of modernization of the marine industry chain,with economic base,industrial structure and the level of fi-nancial development having a slightly weaker influence.
张春霆;赵林;宋小语
曲阜师范大学地理与旅游学院,山东日照 276826
经济学
产业链海洋产业海洋产业链现代化现代海洋产业体系
industrial chainmarine industrymodernization of marine industrial chainmodern marine industrial system
《资源开发与市场》 2024 (010)
1525-1534 / 10
山东省社会科学规划重大理论和现实问题协同创新研究专项(编号:22CCXJ06).
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