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基于LEAP模型的能源活动领域非二氧化碳温室气体减排潜力研究

原爱娟 张萌 刘翔 刘霖 国新毅

新疆环境保护2024,Vol.46Issue(3):22-28,7.
新疆环境保护2024,Vol.46Issue(3):22-28,7.

基于LEAP模型的能源活动领域非二氧化碳温室气体减排潜力研究

Research on Emission Reduction Potential of Non-Carbon Dioxide Greenhouse Gases from the Energy Activity Field Based on LEAP Model

原爱娟 1张萌 1刘翔 1刘霖 1国新毅2

作者信息

  • 1. 山东省环境保护科学研究设计院有限公司,山东 济南 250100
  • 2. 山东电力工程咨询院有限公司,山东 济南 250100
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

According to the'The 14th five-year plan for coping with climate change in Shandong province',taking Jinan City as the research object,combined with the calculation of the base of non-carbon dioxide greenhouse gas emissions in the energy activity field,three scenarios(baseline scenario,optimization scenario and strict emission reduction scenario)were set up,and the LEAP model was used to predict the emission trends of methane and nitrous oxidein the energy activity field under different scenarios in the planning year.The results showed that among the non-carbon dioxide greenhouse gases emitted from energy activities,nitrous oxide emitted from fossil fuel combustion was the largest source of emission and the most promising source of emission reduction.In view of the non-carbon dioxide greenhouse gas control measures in theenergy activity field,suggestions such as coordinated control of conventional pollutants and greenhouse gases were proposed,in order to help the local social and economic transition towards a green and low-carbon future.

关键词

非二氧化碳温室气体/氧化亚氮/甲烷/LEAP模型/减排潜力

Key words

non-carbon dioxide greenhouse gases/nitrous oxide/methane/LEAP model/emission reduction potential

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引用本文复制引用

原爱娟,张萌,刘翔,刘霖,国新毅..基于LEAP模型的能源活动领域非二氧化碳温室气体减排潜力研究[J].新疆环境保护,2024,46(3):22-28,7.

新疆环境保护

1008-2301

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