首页|期刊导航|河南水利与南水北调|河南省山洪灾害"四预"能力建设提升技术路径研究

河南省山洪灾害"四预"能力建设提升技术路径研究OA

Research on the Technical Path for Capabilities Construction of Forecasting,Early Warning,Rehearsal and Contingency Planning of Flash Flood in Henan

中文摘要英文摘要

数字化和智能化技术的应用,为山洪灾害防治提供了新的解决方案和发展方向.文章在河南省山洪灾害预警平台基础上,对照数字孪生流域建设和水利业务"四预"基本技术要求,总结河南省山洪灾害"四预"(预报、预警、预演、预案)能力建设存在的预报精准度不高、预警能力还需增强、预演作用尚未实现、预案针对性不强等重难点问题,提出在山洪小流域"四预"通用功能建设基础上,从山洪防御态势滚动分析和小流域洪水预报、动态预警阈值调整、靶向预警、预警响应、数字化场景预演、预案实战化等方面提升山洪灾害"四预"能力的技术路径,从而实现数字化场景下的山洪过程智能化模拟和山洪风险精准化预报预警,全面提升山洪灾害防御水平.

The application of digital and intelligent technologies provides new solutions and development direction for the prevention and control of flash flood.On the basis of the Henan Province Torrent Flood Disaster Early Warning Platform,in accordance with the basic technical requirements of digital twin basin construction and water conservancy business,it is concluded that problems exist in the capabilities construction of forecasting,early warning,rehearsal,and contingency plan of torrent flood in Henan,such as lower forecast accuracy,early warning capabilities to be enhanced,unsatisfied effect of rehearsal,and not well-targeted contingency plan.In the paper the technical path is proposed for improving the capabilities construction of forecasting,early warning,rehearsal and contingency planning of flash flood in digital scenarios from the aspects of rolling analysis of torrent flood defense situation,small watershed flood forecasting,dynamic early warning threshold adjustment,targeted warning,early warning response,digital scenario rehearsal,and practical contingency plan,based on construction of the general function of forecasting,early warning,rehearsal,and contingency planning for torrent flood in small watersheds.The intelligent simulation of flash flood routing and accurately forecasting and early warning of flash flood risk could comprehensively improve the flash flood prevention.

杨平;薛红勋

河南省科达水利勘测设计有限公司,河南 郑州 450003河南省科达水利勘测设计有限公司,河南 郑州 450003

水利科学

山洪灾害"四预"能力技术路径

flash flood disasterthe capabilities of forecasting,early warning,rehearsal and contingency planningtechnical path

《河南水利与南水北调》 2024 (10)

13-14,2

评论